Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Charlotte FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati hosts Charlotte FC in an MLS clash where both teams have shown comparable strength historically. FC Cincinnati are currently ranked 2nd in the league while Charlotte FC hold 7th position. The recent head-to-head results show a balanced rivalry with Charlotte winning slightly more recently. Both teams have been productive offensively with FC Cincinnati scoring 9 goals and Charlotte FC 10 in their last 5 matches respectively.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati has a solid recent form with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Charlotte FC similarly have 3 wins and 2 losses scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 1.6 per match in the last 5 games. Cincinnati boasts high chance creators like Evander Ferreira (15 big chances) and Gerardo Valenzuela (1.9 shots on target per match), while Charlotte FC's Pep Biel leads the league with 25 big chances created.
- In seven meetings since 2022, Charlotte FC have 3 wins, FC Cincinnati 2 wins, and 2 draws. Charlotte FC have won the last two encounters, but overall, results are fairly even with an average of around 2.7 goals per match in these fixtures.
- No specific injury information is provided for either team at this time, implying squads are likely near full strength or details are not yet disclosed.
- The match will be played at FC Cincinnati's home ground, TQL Stadium, providing a home advantage. The current weather and pitch conditions are not specified but are typical for Cincinnati in August. No other external disruptions are noted.
- FC Cincinnati are positioned higher in the league table and playing at home, which likely gives them motivation to secure three points to maintain or extend their standing. Charlotte FC will aim to continue their recent success against Cincinnati and climb higher in the table, motivating an aggressive performance.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte FC: 340, FC Cincinnati: -134, Draw: 280 | FC Cincinnati win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Charlotte FC: 50, FC Cincinnati: -0.5 | FC Cincinnati -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -161, Under 2.5: 120 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Cincinnati are predicted to edge this match at home, leveraging home advantage and recent overall form despite Charlotte FC's recent head-to-head wins. A close contest with FC Cincinnati favored to win by a narrow margin is expected.
Predicted Score: 2-1