Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Vitória SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-26
- Time: 3:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal
Game Overview
Famalicão hosts Vitória SC in a mid-table Portugal Primeira Liga clash where both teams have had mixed recent form with Famalicão slightly favored due to home advantage and marginally better recent results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Famalicão ranks 7th with 11W-10D-8L and shows stronger home form (1W, 2D, 1L) compared to Vitória SC’s mixed away results (1W in last four away matches). Vitória SC sits 5th with 12W-12D-5L overall but has dropped points away recently.
- In the last 13 meetings, Famalicão has won 2 matches, showing slight struggles historically against Vitória SC. Recent H2H show Famalicão’s home ground advantage with 1W, 2D, 1L over Vitória SC.
- No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI significantly.
- Match played at Famalicão's home ground which provides modest advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues known that could affect performance.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve league standings with Vitória SC just above Famalicão; this promotes a competitive contest but slight edge to home side aiming to climb higher.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Famalicão: -104, Vitória SC: 290, Draw: 235 | Famalicão | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Famalicão -0.5: -102, Vitória SC +50: -118 | Famalicão -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Famalicão -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Famalicão to win on the moneyline, covering a -0.5 spread, with the match finishing under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0