Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Game Overview
Famalicão, currently second in the Primeira Liga with 10 points from 4 matches, hosts Sporting Lisbon, third with 9 points, in a highly competitive fixture. Sporting have a strong away record but Famalicão boasts an impressive defensive form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Famalicão has not conceded in their last 4 matches and sits second with solid defensive stats. Sporting Lisbon has a near-perfect away record scoring 3.00 goals per game and conceding 0.50 on average.
- Recent encounters favor Sporting Lisbon due to superior experience and attacking prowess, but Famalicão's home form and defense make this a closely contested match.
- No critical injuries reported for either team; squads appear near full strength.
- Match is at Famalicão's home stadium, offering them some advantage. No significant weather or travel issues reported.
- Both teams are highly motivated with top-table positions and close points, increasing competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Famalicão: +600, Sporting Lisbon: -235, Draw: +355 | Sporting Lisbon | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Famalicão +1.25 -120, Sporting Lisbon -1.25 +100 | Sporting Lisbon -1.25 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 +102, Under 2.75 -122 | Over 2.75 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Lisbon -14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, Sporting to cover the -1.25 spread, and Over 2.75 goals in total.
Predicted Score: 1-3