Match Analysis: Famalicão vs FC Porto – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Game Overview
FC Porto, currently leading the Portuguese Primeira Liga, faces a resilient Famalicão side. Porto has an impressive winning streak and strong away performance, while Famalicão boasts a stout defense and is motivated to maintain their top-five standing.
Key Factors to Consider
- Porto sits 1st in the league with a strong recent form undefeated in last 6 matches, scoring 9 goals in the last 5. Famalicão is 5th, showing defensive solidity conceding just 0.4 goals per game recently.
- FC Porto dominates head-to-head with 11 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 14 meetings. Porto has not lost to Famalicão in their last 12 encounters.
- Famalicão misses Oscar Aranda due to injury, while FC Porto is missing Luuk de Jong and Nehuén Pérez.
- The match is at Famalicão's home stadium, which may give some advantage, but Porto is a top-ranked away team in the league.
- Porto aims to extend their lead at the top, while Famalicão seeks to consolidate their strong league position, making both teams motivated but Porto with stronger incentive.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Famalicão: 425, FC Porto: -163, Draw: 295 | FC Porto | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Famalicão +75: 105, FC Porto -0.75: -125 | FC Porto -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 64% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Porto 5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Porto moneyline win, FC Porto -0.75 spread, under 2.5 goals
Predicted Score: 0-2