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Excelsior vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Woudestein Stadium

Game Overview

PSV Eindhoven, currently 2nd in the Eredivisie with strong attacking form and away wins, face Excelsior, struggling at 14th with poor home results. PSV are clear favorites with superior recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven boasts 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss with 19 goals scored; Excelsior has 2 wins, 4 losses and a negative goal difference, scoring just 5 and conceding 13.
  • PSV have won all last five encounters, including a recent close 5-4 cup win in extra time, showing clear dominance historically.
  • No specific injury reports found affecting key players on either side; PSV likely fields a strong lineup.
  • Match played at Excelsior's Woudestein Stadium, but home advantage is minimal given Excelsior's poor home form and PSV's solidity on the road.
  • PSV motivated to maintain 2nd position with strong chances for European qualification, Excelsior aiming to improve standings but under pressure given poor league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior: +825, PSV Eindhoven: -425, Draw: +575 PSV Eindhoven ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Excelsior: +2 -120, PSV Eindhoven: -2 100 PSV Eindhoven -2 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over: 3.75 -105, Under: 3.75 -115 Over 3.75 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.75 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: PSV Eindhoven to win; Spread: PSV Eindhoven -2; Over/Under: Over 3.75 goals

Predicted Score: 1-4


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Excelsior vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-27 Time: 6:00 PM UTC Location: Woudestein Stadium Game Overview PSV Eindhoven, currently 2nd in the Eredivisie with strong attacking form and away wins, face Excelsior, struggling at 14th with poor home results. PSV are clear favorites with superior recent form and head-to-head dominance. […]

Excelsior PSV Eindhoven September 27, 2025 Soccer

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Heerenveen vs. Excelsior Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Heerenveen vs Excelsior – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Abe Lenstra Stadion

Game Overview

A pivotal relegation battle between struggling Heerenveen (16th) and Excelsior (17th), both desperate for points to move up the table. The match features two teams with porous defenses and inconsistent form, promising a high-stakes, tense encounter with significant impacts on the league standings[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Heerenveen have only managed a 33% win rate in their last 6 home matches, showing vulnerability even on their own turf. Excelsior, however, have a more promising away record, with a 50% win rate in their last 4 away games and a 75% cover rate, indicating they often outperform expectations on the road[1]. Both teams have conceded regularly, with both teams scoring in a high percentage of their matches[1][2].
  • No detailed head-to-head data provided in the search results, but both teams are in the relegation zone, suggesting historical matchups may have been similarly tight.
  • No specific injury news available from the search results.
  • No significant external factors mentioned in the search results, but both teams are under pressure, which may impact performance.
  • Extremely high for both sides. A loss could further sink either club deeper into relegation trouble, while a win offers a crucial lifeline. This is a must-win match for both squads[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior 320, Heerenveen -152, Draw 320 Excelsior or Draw (Double Chance) ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Excelsior 75 102, Heerenveen -0.75 -122 Excelsior +0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25 102, Under 3.25 -122 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Heerenveen 85%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Heerenveen at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a tense, hard-fought encounter with both teams scoring. While Heerenveen are slight home favorites, Excelsior’s recent away resilience and Heerenveen’s defensive fragility suggest there is value backing the visitors to secure at least a draw. Over 3.25 goals looks well-supported by the data.

Predicted Score: 2-2


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FC Zwolle vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Zwolle vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

Game Overview

PSV Eindhoven face FC Zwolle in an Eredivisie contest where PSV are clear favorites as title contenders, while Zwolle struggle near the lower half of the league table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV boast a strong league position (2nd) with 20 wins in 29 matches and a potent goal difference (+53). FC Zwolle sit 14th with just 7 wins and a negative goal difference. PSV's recent form is solid (WWLWW) versus Zwolle's mixed form (LDWDD).
  • PSV have dominated recent head-to-head meetings since 2021, with FC Zwolle yet to secure a win against them, indicating a psychological and tactical edge for PSV.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly impact expected lineups for either side, suggesting both teams will field close to full strength.
  • Match at Zwolle's home ground might provide some advantage, but PSV's superior quality and motivation to secure points for the title race outweigh the home factor.
  • PSV are highly motivated to maintain title challenge, while Zwolle aim to climb from lower table positions, but have less at stake in terms of points urgency.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Zwolle +550, PSV Eindhoven -260, Draw +430 PSV Eindhoven ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread FC Zwolle +1.25 +102, PSV Eindhoven -1.25 -122 PSV Eindhoven -1.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.5 +102, Under 3.5 -122 Over 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.25 goal spread, and the game to finish over 3.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-3


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Fortuna Sittard vs. FC Volendam Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs FC Volendam – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

Game Overview

Fortuna Sittard hosts FC Volendam in an Eredivisie fixture where the home side, unbeaten at home this season, is favored. Fortuna Sittard holds a higher league position and better recent home form, while Volendam has struggled away but can pose some offensive threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortuna Sittard is 9th with 10 points (3W,1D,3L), unbeaten at home with 2 wins and 1 draw. FC Volendam is 12th with 7 points (1W,4D,2L), showing weak away performance with only 16% win rate recently on the road.
  • Fortuna Sittard has won the last three meetings against FC Volendam, indicating a favorable matchup at home.
  • No significant injury news reported for either side affecting key players.
  • Match played at Fortuna Sittard's home stadium, where they hold a strong unbeaten record this season. No other seasonal or weather impacts noted.
  • Fortuna Sittard aims to consolidate their mid-table position and possibly climb, while FC Volendam looks to improve their away form and avoid dropping further in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortuna Sittard: -126, Draw: +295, FC Volendam: +295 Fortuna Sittard ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Fortuna Sittard -0.5: -125, FC Volendam +50: +105 Fortuna Sittard -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3: +105, Under 3: -125 Under 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortuna Sittard 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fortuna Sittard to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with match total under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sparta Rotterdam vs. Ajax Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Game Overview

Ajax enters as clear favorites given their unbeaten start and higher league standing against a struggling Sparta Rotterdam side currently in 11th place with several defeats. The match promises an away win with competitive scoring from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ajax is unbeaten with 4 wins and 3 draws this season, showing consistent strength, especially away. Sparta is in poor form with only 3 wins and 4 losses, reflecting inconsistency, particularly at home.
  • Ajax holds a strong historical advantage over Sparta, consistently outperforming them in recent meetings across league matches.
  • No critical injury information reported that significantly weakens Ajax’s lineup. Sparta has minor injuries but none expected to drastically influence the match outcome.
  • Match played at Sparta’s home ground may provide slight home advantage, but Ajax’s superior squad depth and form outweigh venue effects.
  • Ajax is motivated to maintain their unbeaten record and challenge for the title, while Sparta needs points to move out of the lower mid-table zone, possibly increasing their attacking intent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +265, away: -117, draw: +295 Away ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -105 (Sparta +50), away: -115 (Ajax -0.5) Ajax -0.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under over: -112 (Over 3), under: -108 (Under 3) Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ajax 157%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ajax at 157% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ajax moneyline win, Ajax -0.5 spread, Over 3 goals

Predicted Score: 1-3


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NAC Breda vs. Groningen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs Groningen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-03
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda

Game Overview

NAC Breda hosts FC Groningen in an Eredivisie fixture where Groningen sits 6th with 12 points, and NAC Breda 15th with 7 points. Both teams have had mixed recent performances and are motivated to improve their league standings, making a tightly contested match likely.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NAC Breda has struggled this season with 7 points and inconsistent form, especially defensively, while Groningen is mid-table with 12 points, displaying slightly better resilience and more stable form.
  • In the last five meetings, NAC Breda and Groningen have each won once with the other games mostly drawn, indicating a balanced historical matchup.
  • No major injury updates are reported for either team, suggesting both squads are near full strength.
  • The match is at NAC Breda's home ground, the Rat Verlegh Stadion, where they tend to start strongly, benefiting from home support. No adverse weather or scheduling conditions noted.
  • Groningen aims to maintain or improve their top-six position, while NAC Breda is motivated to climb out of the relegation zone, creating high competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NAC Breda +156, Groningen +172, Draw +230 Draw ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Groningen 0 -102, NAC Breda 0 -118 NAC Breda 0 spread ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25 -125, Under 2.25 +105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the balance in head-to-head results, recent form, and home advantage, the highest expected value lies in betting on a draw in the moneyline market, NAC Breda on the spread (due to home advantage in a close game), and under 2.25 goals given cautious approaches by both sides.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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SC Telstar vs. Go Ahead Eagles Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: SC Telstar vs Go Ahead Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 2:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Home stadium of SC Telstar

Game Overview

This Eredivisie match features SC Telstar hosting Go Ahead Eagles. Go Ahead Eagles enter as clear favorites due to recent strong away form and past dominance against Telstar. Telstar struggles defensively at home, while Go Ahead Eagles have shown better consistency and confidence with wins in recent fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • SC Telstar recently lost 0-2 to FC Groningen at home, highlighting defensive weaknesses. Go Ahead Eagles come off a solid 2-0 away win against PEC Zwolle, maintaining positive momentum.
  • Go Ahead Eagles have won the last 3 meetings against Telstar across all competitions, indicating a psychological and tactical edge.
  • No specific injury reports available, suggesting both squads likely near full strength for this clash.
  • No notable external influences such as weather or travel burdens that could significantly impact the match outcome.
  • Go Ahead Eagles motivated to cement their position with away points, whereas Telstar seeks to stop a three-game losing streak and improve home form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Go Ahead Eagles +117, SC Telstar +200, Draw +270 Go Ahead Eagles ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Go Ahead Eagles -0.25 -110, SC Telstar +25 -110 Go Ahead Eagles -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 3 -105, Under 3 -115 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Go Ahead Eagles 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Go Ahead Eagles at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Go Ahead Eagles moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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FC Utrecht vs. Heerenveen Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Utrecht vs Heerenveen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Game Overview

FC Utrecht hosts Heerenveen in this Eredivisie clash where Utrecht holds a points and form advantage while playing at home, making them favorites to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Utrecht has 9 points from 6 games with a home record of two wins in three matches. Heerenveen has 5 points from 6 games and shows less consistent recent form.
  • Historically, Utrecht and Heerenveen are closely matched, but Utrecht is unbeaten in 21 of their last 23 encounters and has the edge in recent meetings.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting key players for either side, suggesting both teams are at near full strength.
  • Match played at FC Utrecht’s stadium favors the home side; no notable external disruptions or weather concerns reported.
  • Utrecht motivated to consolidate a higher league position with strong home support; Heerenveen seeks to improve poor away form and overall standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -135, away: +310, draw: +310 Home Win ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -0.75 -105, away: 75 -115 FC Utrecht -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: +100, under: -120 Over 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Utrecht 146%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: FC Utrecht at 146% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Utrecht to win

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Groningen vs. Feyenoord Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Groningen vs Feyenoord – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Euroborg, Groningen

Game Overview

The Eredivisie match between Groningen and Feyenoord features the unbeaten league leaders Feyenoord visiting Groningen who sit fourth. Feyenoord has shown strong attacking and defensive form this season, whereas Groningen is solid at home but less consistent overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Feyenoord remains unbeaten in the league, displaying strong attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Groningen holds a respectable home record but is less dominant overall.
  • Feyenoord generally has the upper hand in recent meetings, though Groningen can score at home and has some resilience, indicating a competitive fixture.
  • No major injury reports impacting starting lineups significantly for either side, maintaining both teams' usual strength.
  • The match is played at Groningen's home stadium, Euroborg, where the home support and familiarity are significant but unlikely to overturn Feyenoord’s form advantage.
  • Feyenoord aims to maintain their unbeaten league lead, while Groningen seeks to challenge a top opponent on home ground, adding competitive intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Feyenoord -140, Groningen +320, Draw +285 Feyenoord ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Feyenoord -0.75 (-102), Groningen +75 (-118) Feyenoord -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.75 (-115), Under 2.75 (-105) Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Feyenoord 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Feyenoord to win the match

Predicted Score: 0-2


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NEC Nijmegen vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen

Game Overview

NEC Nijmegen (7th place, 9 points) hosts AZ Alkmaar (5th place, 11 points) in an Eredivisie clash where both teams seek vital points. NEC has an aggressive style but inconsistent form, while AZ is unbeaten away and defensively solid.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AZ Alkmaar demonstrates consistent form with 3 wins and 2 draws, unbeaten away, scoring 12 and conceding 7 goals; NEC Nijmegen has scored 19 but conceded 12 with mixed results and a recent home defeat.
  • Last meetings were closely contested, including a thrilling 3-3 draw. Historically tight matchups suggest competitive, attacking games.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI.
  • Match at NEC's home stadium with normal conditions; no reported adverse environmental factors.
  • Both teams motivated to improve standings; AZ aims to maintain unbeaten run, NEC seeks rebound from recent loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: +108, NEC Nijmegen: +189, Draw: +295 AZ Alkmaar ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread AZ Alkmaar -0.25: -110, NEC Nijmegen +25: -110 AZ Alkmaar -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.25: -108, Under 3.25: -112 Over 3.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: AZ Alkmaar at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

AZ Alkmaar to win (Moneyline), AZ Alkmaar -0.25 on spread, Over 3.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1 AZ Alkmaar


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