Match Analysis: Everton vs Ipswich Town – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 3, 2025
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Goodison Park
Game Overview
Everton aims to break a winless run (1 win in last 9 matches) against relegated Ipswich, who have lost 7 of their last 9 Premier League fixtures. Opta's supercomputer gives Everton a 55.8% win probability.
Key Factors to Consider
- Everton has lost 3 of their last 9 matches but remains defensively resilient. Ipswich has been porous defensively, conceding frequently in recent games.
- No direct H2H data provided, but Everton's mid-table experience contrasts sharply with Ipswich's relegation struggles.
- Everton: Calvert-Lewin, Mangala sidelined. Ipswich: Hutchinson, Szmodics, Murić, Burns, Ogbene unavailable.
- Penultimate Goodison Park match before stadium relocation adds emotional impetus for Everton.
- Everton seeks momentum for final home games; Ipswich plays with minimal pressure post-relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Everton (-202), Ipswich (+520), Draw (+320) | Everton | High (55-60%) |
Spread | Everton -1.5 (+138), Ipswich +1.5 (-185) | Ipswich +1.5 | Moderate (65%) |
Over/under | Over 2.5 (-114), Under 2.5 (-116) | Over 2.5 | High (70%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Everton -13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 22% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Everton wins but likely fails to cover -1.5 spread. Over 2.5 goals probable given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.
Predicted Score: Everton 2-1 Ipswich Town