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Estoril vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Nacional in a Primeira Liga match, marking Matchday 9. Estoril is looking to improve its standings from 16th place, while Nacional aims to maintain its 10th position. Estoril has recently shown resilience, while Nacional has been inconsistent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril has struggled at home, winning only 20% of their last 5 home games. Nacional, however, has performed better away, winning 60% of their first 4 away games.
  • Historical data between the two teams was not provided, but Estoril's recent victory against Os Belenenses suggests potential momentum.
  • No significant injury updates were provided.
  • Home advantage could be crucial for Estoril.
  • Estoril is highly motivated to secure points given their current league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Estoril: 121, Nacional: 212, Draw: 245 Estoril ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Estoril -0.25 -110, Nacional 25 -110 Estoril -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 69%
Over/under Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estoril 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Estoril at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The highest expected value plays are highlighted below.

Predicted Score: Estoril 2, Nacional 1


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Estoril vs. Nacional Prediction

Match Analysis: Estoril vs Nacional – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-10-26 Time: 3:30 PM UTC Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium Game Overview Estoril hosts Nacional in a Primeira Liga match, marking Matchday 9. Estoril is looking to improve its standings from 16th place, while Nacional aims to maintain its 10th position. Estoril has recently […]

Estoril Nacional October 26, 2025 Soccer

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Tondela vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Tondela vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio João Cardoso

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon, currently 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 19 points, hosts struggling Tondela who sit 17th with 5 points. Sporting has a strong away record this season, while Tondela has been poor at home and overall. The quality gap and form clearly favor Sporting Lisbon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon maintains a high win rate (around 66% in recent away matches), showcasing consistent attacking and defensive solidity, whereas Tondela has managed only 2 wins out of 16 historical meetings and currently endures poor form at home with no recent wins.
  • Out of 16 matches between them, Sporting has won 11 (69%), Tondela 2 (13%), with 3 draws (18%), indicating a clear historical dominance by Sporting Lisbon.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side that would materially affect expected performance.
  • No known external or weather factors impacting the match. The game is at Tondela's home ground but their weak home performance limits home advantage effect.
  • Sporting Lisbon aims to consolidate their position near the top of the league and is motivated by strong title contention, whereas Tondela faces relegation danger and will be desperate to gain points but lacks quality.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +875, draw: +500, away: -390 away ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread sporting_minus_1.75: -102, tondela_plus_1.75: -118 sporting -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_3: -118, under_3: -102 under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 631%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sporting Lisbon at 631% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon will win comfortably, keeping a clean sheet, in a low-scoring game under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Famalicão vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal

Game Overview

Famalicão hosts Vitória SC in a mid-table Portugal Primeira Liga clash where both teams have had mixed recent form with Famalicão slightly favored due to home advantage and marginally better recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão ranks 7th with 11W-10D-8L and shows stronger home form (1W, 2D, 1L) compared to Vitória SC’s mixed away results (1W in last four away matches). Vitória SC sits 5th with 12W-12D-5L overall but has dropped points away recently.
  • In the last 13 meetings, Famalicão has won 2 matches, showing slight struggles historically against Vitória SC. Recent H2H show Famalicão’s home ground advantage with 1W, 2D, 1L over Vitória SC.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting starting XI significantly.
  • Match played at Famalicão's home ground which provides modest advantage. No adverse weather or travel issues known that could affect performance.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve league standings with Vitória SC just above Famalicão; this promotes a competitive contest but slight edge to home side aiming to climb higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: -104, Vitória SC: 290, Draw: 235 Famalicão ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Famalicão -0.5: -102, Vitória SC +50: -118 Famalicão -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.25: -102, Under 2.25: -118 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão to win on the moneyline, covering a -0.5 spread, with the match finishing under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Benfica vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal

Game Overview

This matchup sees Benfica, currently ranked 3rd in Liga Portugal, host Arouca, who are 11th. Benfica has historically dominated Arouca, winning 17 of their last 20 encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica is in stronger form, with better recent results and statistical performance indicators like average goals scored and conceded. Arouca struggles with consistency.
  • Benfica has a significant historical advantage, winning 17 of 20 past matches against Arouca.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team.
  • Motivation to win is high for Benfica as they pursue a strong league position.
  • Benfica needs wins to maintain their contention for European spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Benfica -675, Arouca 1300, Draw 725 Benfica ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Benfica -2 -122, Arouca +2 102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Over 3.25 -112, Under 3.25 -108 Over 3.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica is the clear favorite, with strong historical and recent form advantages.

Predicted Score: Benfica 4 – Arouca 1


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CF Estrela vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes, Amadora, Portugal

Game Overview

A tightly matched Liga Portugal game between CF Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave FC, with both clubs displaying middling form and close historical outcomes in head-to-head encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • CF Estrela ranks 15th and has struggled at home with a high loss rate (50%), scoring an average of 0.75 goals per match while conceding 1.0. Rio Ave, ranked 12th, performs slightly better away with 3 draws in 4 away games and an average of 1.38 goals scored but concedes 1.63 goals on average.
  • In 12 meetings since 2003, Rio Ave has dominated with 6 wins versus Estrela's 2, and 4 draws. Recent encounters have seen Rio Ave maintain a slight edge, but Estrela has won 2 of their last few home games against Rio Ave. The average goals scored in their matches is moderately low at around 2.3 to 2.8 per game.
  • No specific injury reports are currently available for either team, indicating a likely full-strength squad for both sides.
  • The match is played at Estádio José Gomes, which adds some home advantage for Estrela Amadora, but their inconsistency at home tempers this. No significant external factors such as weather disruptions or scheduling congestion are detected.
  • Both teams sit in lower-mid table with Rio Ave slightly higher, possibly pushing harder to avoid relegation dangers. Estrela has the urgency to improve home form, potentially increasing their motivation, though Rio Ave’s resilience in away matches suggests balanced motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: 162, away: 172, draw: 220 Rio Ave FC ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread home: -115, away: -105 Rio Ave FC -0.0 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rio Ave FC 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rio Ave FC at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rio Ave FC win. Spread: Rio Ave FC -0.0. Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Santa Clara vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-25
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Game Overview

Santa Clara (13th, 8 points in 8 games) hosts AVS Futebol SAD (18th, 1 point in 8 games) in a match with clear relegation implications. Santa Clara is favored, having a significantly superior league position and stronger recent form, while AVS has struggled for results all season, especially in attack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santa Clara has 8 points from 8 matches, showing moderate resilience but with 4 losses. AVS has just 1 point, the league's worst record, with major struggles in both scoring and defense. Santa Clara's home performances have been relatively stable, while AVS's away form is dismal.
  • H2H data is limited (AVS promoted this season), but Santa Clara's higher league stature and current form give them the edge.
  • No major injury news reported in the data provided.
  • No significant external factors reported. Weather is not expected to play a decisive role.
  • Santa Clara needs a win to pull away from the relegation zone; AVS is desperate for any points but badly out of form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Santa Clara -186, AVS +550, Draw +280 Santa Clara ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Santa Clara -1 -102, AVS +1 -118 Santa Clara -1 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25 +108, Under 2.25 -128 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win without conceding, likely in a low-scoring game.

Predicted Score: Santa Clara 2-0 AVS


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Alverca vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Alverca vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 24, 2025
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Centro de Formação do FC Alverca

Game Overview

Alverca hosts Gil Vicente in a Portugal Primeira Liga match on October 24, 2025. Gil Vicente is currently 4th in the league and has shown strong defensive capabilities, while Alverca faces a challenging opponent.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has been solid this season with 5 wins and only 2 losses, emphasizing their defensive strength. Alverca's recent form data is not explicitly provided, but they are generally considered an underdog in this matchup.
  • Previous head-to-head data between the two teams is not available.
  • There are no reported significant injuries affecting the teams' lineups.
  • No external factors like weather or crowd influence are noted as significant.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points, but Gil Vicente's league position adds pressure to perform.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: +210, Gil Vicente: +145, Draw: +200 Gil Vicente ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Alverca +25 -130, Gil Vicente -0.25 +110 Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 43%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to win with an under 2.5 goals scenario.

Predicted Score: Alverca 1 – 2 Gil Vicente


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Vitória SC vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Game Overview

Vitória SC hosts Santa Clara in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash where Vitória SC has historically dominated the matchup, especially at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC currently shows mixed form but is undefeated at home this season. Santa Clara also displays mixed form with only one away win so far.
  • Vitória SC has won 9 of the last 16 encounters against Santa Clara, including strong performances at home. Recent matches suggest low scoring with under 2.5 goals common.
  • No specific injury data available; assume both sides have typical squad availability.
  • The match is at Vitória SC’s home stadium, which is an advantage given their undefeated home streak.
  • Vitória SC likely motivated to maintain strong home form and improve league standing, while Santa Clara aims to overcome struggles on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 136 Vitória SC ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread 102 Vitória SC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under -125 / 105 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win on the moneyline, Vitória SC -0.25 on the spread, and under 1.75 goals total.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do CD Aves, Vila das Aves

Game Overview

AVS Futebol SAD, currently at the bottom of the Primeira Liga table without a win this season, faces FC Alverca, who are hovering just above the relegation zone. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their league positions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • AVS Futebol SAD has struggled significantly, losing all their home matches and scoring only four goals in seven games, while conceding seventeen. Alverca has shown mixed form but secured a notable win against Vitória Guimarães.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data available, but Alverca's recent performance suggests they have an edge.
  • No significant injury updates available.
  • Given the high stakes and AVS's poor home record, external pressure may influence the match.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure points, but Alverca's recent form and confidence from their last win might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alverca: +155, AVS Futebol SAD: +185, Draw: +212 Alverca to win ★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread Alverca: 0 -122, AVS Futebol SAD: 0 102 Alverca to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 2 -130, Under: 2 110 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alverca 48%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 48% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alverca to win

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Nacional vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Madeira

Game Overview

CD Nacional hosts Moreirense FC in a Primeira Liga match where Nacional struggles at home (no wins in 3 matches) and Moreirense are higher in the standings in 4th place with strong overall form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nacional is 13th with 7 points from 7 matches, 2-1-4 record, with poor home form losing all 3 home games conceding 8 goals. Moreirense sits 4th with 15 points, 5 wins and 2 losses, scoring more goals and boasting better overall form.
  • Last meeting ended in a draw. Historically, matches tend to be close and low scoring, with both teams prioritizing defense in recent encounters.
  • No specific injury reports available from data; assume typical squad availability with no major absences reported.
  • Nacional has home advantage but their defensive frailty at home tempers this. Moreirense's away performance is solid though slightly less potent than at home.
  • Moreirense motivated to consolidate top-table position while Nacional aims to escape relegation zone and improve home form; high motivation on both sides but differential favors Moreirense.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +135, draw: +210, away: +215 Draw ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread home_-0.25: +102, away_+25: -122 Away +0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.25: +102, under_2.25: -122 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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