Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium, Estoril, Portugal
Game Overview
Estoril faces FC Porto in a Primeira Liga match, with Porto aiming to maintain their title hopes and Estoril seeking to break their winless run.
Key Factors to Consider
Estoril has struggled recently with a mixed record of one win, three draws, and one loss in their last five games, while Porto has been strong with a solid defensive record.
Porto has historically dominated head-to-head matches, including a 4-0 win earlier this season.
No significant injury concerns are reported for Estoril, while Porto's main players are available.
The match is crucial for Porto's title ambitions and will be played in front of Estoril's home crowd.
Porto is highly motivated to win to stay in the title race, while Estoril seeks to break their winless streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Estoril: 500, FC Porto: -185, Draw: 290
FC Porto
★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread
Estoril: +1 -115, FC Porto: -1 -105
FC Porto -1
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over 2.5: -102, Under 2.5: -118
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Predicted Outcome
FC Porto is favored to win based on their strong form and historical dominance.
Predicted Score: Estoril 1, FC Porto 2
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Estoril vs. FC Porto Prediction
Match Analysis: Estoril vs FC Porto – Prediction Match Details Date: 30 March 2025 Time: 5:00 PM UTC Location: António Coimbra da Mota Stadium, Estoril, Portugal Game Overview Estoril faces FC Porto in a Primeira Liga match, with Porto aiming to maintain their title hopes and Estoril seeking to break their winless run. Key Factors […]
Vitória SC hosts Santa Clara in a Portugal Primeira Liga clash where Vitória SC has historically dominated the matchup, especially at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Vitória SC currently shows mixed form but is undefeated at home this season. Santa Clara also displays mixed form with only one away win so far.
Vitória SC has won 9 of the last 16 encounters against Santa Clara, including strong performances at home. Recent matches suggest low scoring with under 2.5 goals common.
No specific injury data available; assume both sides have typical squad availability.
The match is at Vitória SC’s home stadium, which is an advantage given their undefeated home streak.
Vitória SC likely motivated to maintain strong home form and improve league standing, while Santa Clara aims to overcome struggles on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
136
Vitória SC
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
102
Vitória SC -0.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
-125 / 105
Under 1.75
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vitória SC 32%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 1.75 27%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vitória SC to win on the moneyline, Vitória SC -0.25 on the spread, and under 1.75 goals total.
AVS Futebol SAD, currently at the bottom of the Primeira Liga table without a win this season, faces FC Alverca, who are hovering just above the relegation zone. This match is crucial for both teams as they seek to improve their league positions.
Key Factors to Consider
AVS Futebol SAD has struggled significantly, losing all their home matches and scoring only four goals in seven games, while conceding seventeen. Alverca has shown mixed form but secured a notable win against Vitória Guimarães.
Limited recent head-to-head data available, but Alverca's recent performance suggests they have an edge.
No significant injury updates available.
Given the high stakes and AVS's poor home record, external pressure may influence the match.
Both teams are highly motivated to secure points, but Alverca's recent form and confidence from their last win might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Alverca: +155, AVS Futebol SAD: +185, Draw: +212
Alverca to win
★★★☆☆ 63%
Spread
Alverca: 0 -122, AVS Futebol SAD: 0 102
Alverca to cover the spread
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over: 2 -130, Under: 2 110
Under 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 59%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Alverca 48%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 30%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Alverca at 48% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.9% (Kelly Criterion)
CD Nacional hosts Moreirense FC in a Primeira Liga match where Nacional struggles at home (no wins in 3 matches) and Moreirense are higher in the standings in 4th place with strong overall form.
Key Factors to Consider
Nacional is 13th with 7 points from 7 matches, 2-1-4 record, with poor home form losing all 3 home games conceding 8 goals. Moreirense sits 4th with 15 points, 5 wins and 2 losses, scoring more goals and boasting better overall form.
Last meeting ended in a draw. Historically, matches tend to be close and low scoring, with both teams prioritizing defense in recent encounters.
No specific injury reports available from data; assume typical squad availability with no major absences reported.
Nacional has home advantage but their defensive frailty at home tempers this. Moreirense's away performance is solid though slightly less potent than at home.
Moreirense motivated to consolidate top-table position while Nacional aims to escape relegation zone and improve home form; high motivation on both sides but differential favors Moreirense.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: +135, draw: +210, away: +215
Draw
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
home_-0.25: +102, away_+25: -122
Away +0.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over_2.25: +102, under_2.25: -122
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Draw 24%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Gil Vicente, sitting 5th in the league, hosts struggling CF Estrela, who are near the bottom with just 7 points. Gil Vicente has recently begun to stabilize results after a period of inconsistency, while Estrela Amadora has shown little attacking threat and defensive fragility on the road. The historical matchup is close, but Gil Vicente’s home advantage and current form could prove decisive.
Key Factors to Consider
Gil Vicente averages 1 goal scored and 1.52 conceded per game, showing inconsistency, but has collected 13 points to Estrela’s 7. Estrela Amadora averages just 0.83 goals scored and concedes 1.46 per game, with frequent goal droughts (11 failures to score in 24 games). Recent matches show Gil Vicente with 2 wins in last 5, Estrela 1 win in last 5. Gil Vicente has a better recent record in terms of points and clean sheets[1][2].
Direct H2H record is very close: last 8 meetings (all competitions since 2003) show 2 wins each, 4 draws[3]. However, in their last three meetings (since 2024), Gil Vicente won 1-0 at home, lost 0-1 away, and drew 1-1 at home[4]. Recent clashes suggest home advantage is meaningful, but away wins are still possible. Over 75% of these games have seen under 2.25 goals[3].
No major injury news reported for either side. Both teams have played with regular lineups recently.
No significant external factors (weather, travel, etc.) identified. Crowd support likely favors Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos.
Gil Vicente is chasing a European spot with a chance to solidify their position. Estrela Amadora is fighting relegation, but their poor form and lack of potency away from home are major concerns. Motivation exists for both, but Estrela's recent performances suggest limited upside.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Gil Vicente -146 | Estrela 415 | Draw 265
Gil Vicente
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Gil Vicente -0.75 -110 | Estrela +75 -110
Gil Vicente -0.75
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.25 100 | Under 2.25 -120
Under 2.25
★★★★☆ 75%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gil Vicente -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 25%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gil Vicente to continue their upward trend at home, leveraging their better squad depth and stronger recent results. Expect another low-scoring affair: under 2.25 goals is likely; any clear winner is likely to be Gil Vicente, though a draw is possible if Estrela defends resolutely.
Casa Pia hosts Estoril in a crucial bottom-table clash of Portugal's Primeira Liga. Both teams have struggled in the early season, with Casa Pia just marginally ahead in league position and points. The match presents a balanced but tense contest as both sides seek their first upturn in form.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia holds 7 points from 7 games (2W, 1D, 4L), showing better home form, while Estoril only has 5 points (1W, 2D, 4L). Both teams display defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistency.
Recent H2H favors Estoril slightly with 6 wins to Casa Pia's 1 in the last 10, but recent matches have been close including draws, indicating competitiveness.
No significant injury updates available for either side suggesting full squads likely.
The neutral venue of Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior reduces typical home advantage but Casa Pia’s better fan support and familiarity might aid them.
With both clubs near the relegation zone, the motivation is high to secure points. Casa Pia's slight points edge and home advantage increase their urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia +152, Estoril +180, Draw +220
Casa Pia
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Casa Pia 0 -125, Estoril 0 +105
Casa Pia 0 Spread
★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -108, Under 2.25 -112
Over 2.25 Goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Casa Pia 8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 6%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
FC Porto enters the match as dominant league leaders with an unblemished record, while Arouca has mixed form but recently gained confidence with an away win. Porto's strong offense and defense contrast with Arouca’s inconsistent home results.
Key Factors to Consider
Porto has 6 wins in 6 matches this season scoring 15 goals and conceding only 1, holding first place. Arouca sits 10th with an 8-point tally from 6 games, showing inconsistent home form with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss.
In the last 10 matches since 2017, Porto won 8 times against Arouca, who has only 1 victory. Porto has dominated recent encounters with big wins including 4-0 and 5-1 results.
Arouca reportedly has a fully fit squad for this fixture. No significant injury concerns have been noted for either team.
The match is at Arouca’s home ground, which may offer them slight advantage, but Porto’s superior quality lessens this impact.
Porto aims to maintain their 100% winning streak and top league position. Arouca seeks to build on their last away win and improve home results, showing motivation but with lower leverage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arouca: +725, FC Porto: -290, Draw: +395
FC Porto
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Arouca +1.25: +100, FC Porto -1.25: -120
FC Porto -1.25
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115
Over 2.75 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
FC Porto 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Famalicão, currently 6th in the Portugal Primeira Liga with 11 points, faces Rio Ave FC, 14th with 4 points and no wins yet. Famalicão has shown stronger form overall, creating a favorite scenario at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Famalicão has 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in 6 matches, scoring more and conceding fewer goals than Rio Ave who remains winless with 4 draws and 2 losses, showing defensive frailty.
Recent H2H trends favour Famalicão with better outcomes and home advantage, having a positive goal difference against Rio Ave.
No critical injuries reported for Famalicão or Rio Ave significantly impacting starting lineups ahead of the match.
Match is held at Famalicão's home ground, Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, giving a slight home edge; no adverse weather or travel issues reported for either team.
Famalicão aims to maintain top-half positioning early in the season, while Rio Ave struggles to gain momentum, increasing the motivation for a home win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -130, draw: +260, away: +350
Home
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
home_-0.75: +102, away_+75: -122
Home -0.75
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
over_2.5: -102, under_2.5: -118
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Famalicão 170%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 170% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Famalicão to win on the moneyline with a strong likelihood of under 2.5 total goals, given Famalicão's solid defense and Rio Ave's low scoring tendency.
Braga hosts Nacional in the Portuguese Primeira Liga needing to end a four-game winless streak in the league but buoyed by a recent Europa League win, while Nacional struggles near the relegation zone with limited offensive threat.
Key Factors to Consider
Braga sits 7th with 9 points in 6 matches, recently challenged domestically but confident from Europe; Nacional is 16th with 4 points and poor away form.
Braga has a recent home win against Nacional, showing dominance in direct encounters.
Braga's Fran Navarro likely returning, key defender Jonatas Noro still injured; Nacional missing midfielder Matheus Dias due to suspension.
The match is played at Braga's home ground, which is known to favor the hosts.
Braga motivated to rebound from league struggles and consolidate mid-table, Nacional pressured by relegation fight and recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -250, away: 650, draw: 360
Braga
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Braga: -105, Nacional: -115
Braga -1.25
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
over: 102, under: -122
Under 2.75
★★★☆☆ 67%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Braga -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Braga to win moneyline, Braga to cover -1.25 spread, Under 2.75 goals
Alverca, currently struggling near the lower end of the Primeira Liga standings, hosts Vitória SC, a mid-table side showing more stability and recent success. Vitória SC is favored in the moneyline and spread markets with odds suggesting confidence in an away win or at least avoiding defeat.
Key Factors to Consider
Alverca has only 4 points from 6 matches with a -5 goal difference, indicating poor form and struggles in defense. Vitória SC has 8 points from 6 matches and a slightly negative goal difference but better consistency overall.
No previous top-flight meetings or direct H2H data between Alverca and Vitória SC are available, so no psychological or historical advantage is evident.
No major injury information available, suggesting both teams are relatively close to full strength.
No noted external factors affecting the game such as weather or travel strain; the match is played at Alverca’s home ground.
Alverca faces pressure to improve from its relegation-threatened position, while Vitória SC aims to consolidate mid-table security and push for European qualification spots.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Alverca: +220, Vitória SC: +124, Draw: +225
Vitória SC
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Alverca +25: -115, Vitória SC -0.25: -105
Vitória SC -0.25
★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Vitória SC 23%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitória SC at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vitória SC to win on the moneyline, Vitória SC -0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.25 goals
