Match Analysis: Empoli vs Parma – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani
Game Overview
Empoli vs. Parma represents a crucial Serie A match with significant implications for both teams. Empoli is currently in the 19th position and is battling relegation, while Parma is in the 16th position. Both teams need points to secure their positions in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
- Empoli has struggled with consistency, but they have shown resilience in past matches. Parma's recent form has been inconsistent as well, with their average goals scored being slightly higher than Empoli's.
- The historical head-to-head statistics show Empoli winning five out of 19 recent matches, with four draws and ten losses. However, recent matches have seen fewer wins for both teams.
- Injury updates are not provided, but both teams likely have players missing due to injuries.
- External factors such as home advantage and the pressure of relegation could significantly influence the match.
- Empoli's motivation is high due to the relegation threat, while Parma also needs points to avoid slipping further down the table.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Empoli: 105, Parma: 255, Draw: 250 | Empoli | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Empoli: -0.25 -125, Parma: 25 105 | Parma +0.25 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -105, Under: 2.5 -115 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Empoli -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Empoli is favored to win due to their home advantage and the high stakes of avoiding relegation.
Predicted Score: Empoli 1, Parma 0