Match Analysis: Empoli vs Lazio – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-04
- Time: 10:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
Game Overview
Empoli, currently ranked 19th in Serie A, will face Lazio, who are 7th, on May 4, 2025. Lazio has a strong head-to-head record against Empoli, being undefeated in their last 12 games against them. Empoli's home record has been poor lately, winning only five of their last 31 home Serie A matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Empoli has struggled in recent home matches, while Lazio has maintained a steady performance. Empoli averages 0.44 goals per home match, indicating a challenging offensive capability.
- Lazio has dominated the head-to-head, winning in 16 out of 25 encounters and remaining undefeated in the last 12 matches against Empoli.
- No specific injury updates are available, but this could be a significant factor if key players are missing.
- Weather and refereeing decisions could impact the match, but no specific details are provided.
- Lazio's motivation to climb the table and secure European spots might be higher than Empoli's, who are fighting relegation but have limited success in recent home matches.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Empoli: 330, Lazio: -120, Draw: 270 | Lazio to win | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Empoli: 50 -102, Lazio: -0.5 -118 | Lazio to cover | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Lazio 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Lazio at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Lazio is favored to win due to their historical dominance over Empoli and their better recent form.
Predicted Score: Empoli 0, Lazio 2