Match Analysis: Empoli vs Hellas Verona – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-25
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Carlo Castellani, Empoli, Italy
Game Overview
The Serie A match between Empoli and Hellas Verona on May 25, 2025, features two teams at the lower end of the league table, with Empoli struggling in 18th place and Hellas Verona slightly better in 15th. Both teams have faced inconsistent form recently, and this late-season encounter at Empoli's home ground is crucial for points to avoid relegation battles and improve standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Empoli has a record of 4 wins, 13 draws, and 17 losses this season, accumulating 25 points. Recent form has been mixed with a notable home advantage. Hellas Verona has also struggled, with several losses and draws, showing defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent attacking output.
- This season, Empoli and Hellas Verona have met once, with varying results historically. Their past encounters suggest a competitive matchup with neither side dominating decisively, emphasizing the likelihood of a tight contest.
- No specific data on current injuries was found from the search results. However, both teams typically face squad fitness challenges late in the season which could impact key players and depth.
- The match taking place at Empoli's Carlo Castellani stadium gives the home team a potential edge. Weather conditions and pitch quality are standard for late May in Italy and unlikely to heavily influence the game.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their league position. Empoli, being lower in the table, may have a higher urgency to avoid relegation, while Hellas Verona aims to solidify mid-table safety.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Empoli: -105, Hellas Verona: 320, Draw: 230 | Empoli win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Empoli: -0.5 100, Hellas Verona: 50 -120 | Empoli -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: 108, Under 2.25: -128 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Empoli 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Empoli at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Empoli is marginally favored to win due to home advantage and slightly better recent form. However, the match is expected to be closely contested, with a possible draw also plausible given both teams' inconsistent offensive records.
Predicted Score: 1-0