Match Analysis: Eintracht Frankfurt vs FSV Mainz 05 – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Deutsche Bank Park, Frankfurt
Game Overview
Eintracht Frankfurt hosts FSV Mainz 05 in a crucial Bundesliga clash. Frankfurt, currently 8th with 14 points, showcases a potent offense with 22 goals scored this season and holds home advantage. Mainz, struggling at 17th with 5 points, aims to avoid relegation and secure a rare win away. Direct encounters show a balanced history with close matches and frequent goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Frankfurt displays strong home form with a dynamic attack. Mainz has underperformed overall but showed some resilience away with a win and a draw in recent road matches.
- Last five meetings are tight: 2 Mainz wins, 1 Frankfurt win, 2 draws. Frequent 1-1 results indicate close games with goals from both sides.
- No explicit injury data from sources; absence of key players not reported suggesting mostly full-strength squads.
- Match played under floodlights with expected high attendance at Deutsche Bank Park, providing Frankfurt notable home advantage.
- Frankfurt seeks to consolidate mid-table position, while Mainz fights to escape relegation, increasing their motivation to disrupt at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -123, away: 285, draw: 310 | Eintracht Frankfurt | β β β β β 74% |
| Spread | home_-0.5: -122, away_+50: 102 | Eintracht Frankfurt -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | over_3: -115, under_3: -105 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Eintracht Frankfurt 9% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Eintracht Frankfurt to win (moneyline), covering the -0.5 spread, with over 3 total goals expected.
Predicted Score: 3-1