Match Analysis: Deportivo Táchira vs Central Córdoba – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-13
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Polideportivo de Pueblo Nuevo, San Cristóbal
Game Overview
This 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group C match between Deportivo Táchira and Central Córdoba will be held at Deportivo Táchira's home venue. Deportivo Táchira currently ranks 3rd in the Venezuelan Primera División, while Central Córdoba competes in Argentina's Liga Profesional. Both teams have faced each other recently in this competition, with Central Córdoba securing a notable 2-1 away victory on April 23, 2025. This match is crucial for group standings and advancing opportunities in the Libertadores.
Key Factors to Consider
- Deportivo Táchira has had mixed results in the group stage, struggling especially against stronger opponents. Central Córdoba has shown resilience, including a recent away win at Deportivo Táchira and a solid victory over Flamengo. Both teams have inconsistent league form but Central Córdoba's recent Copa Libertadores form is slightly stronger.
- In the recent head-to-head on April 23, 2025, Central Córdoba defeated Deportivo Táchira 2-1 at home. This gives Central Córdoba a psychological advantage going into the return match, despite Deportivo Táchira playing on home soil.
- No prominent injury data is currently available for either side that would severely impact the starting lineups, suggesting both teams may field their strongest squads.
- Playing at home in San Cristóbal could offer Deportivo Táchira an altitude and crowd advantage. However, travel and recent scheduling could affect both teams’ physical conditions. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard for the region and time of year.
- Both teams are motivated to secure points to improve their chances to advance from the group stage. Deportivo Táchira, playing at home, will aim to avenge their earlier loss, while Central Córdoba will strive to maintain their momentum and secure an away result.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Córdoba: 120, Deportivo Táchira: 240, Draw: 210 | Central Córdoba to win or draw | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Central Córdoba -0.25: -118, Deportivo Táchira +25: -112 | Central Córdoba -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.25: 102, Under 2.25: -132 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Central Córdoba 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Central Córdoba at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Central Córdoba is expected to edge out a narrow away victory or at least a draw, given their recent away win and slightly better form in the Libertadores. Deportivo Táchira will be competitive at home but may lack the consistency to secure a win.
Predicted Score: Central Córdoba 2 – 1 Deportivo Táchira