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Deportes Tolima vs. FBC Melgar Prediction – February 21, 2025 Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs FBC Melgar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-02-20
  • Time: 00:30 UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Game Overview

Deportes Tolima hosts FBC Melgar in the first leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025. Tolima is favored due to home advantage, while Melgar aims to exploit the second leg's altitude advantage in Peru.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Deportes Tolima has a strong defensive setup and excels in physical matches, but struggles with consistency in scoring. Melgar benefits from recent international experience and home advantage in high-altitude matches.
  • Limited recent head-to-head data, but both teams have shown resilience in continental competitions.
  • No significant injury reports available for either team.
  • Tolima's home conditions, including high humidity, could affect Melgar's performance. The altitude in Arequipa will be a significant factor in the second leg.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to advance in the tournament, with Tolima seeking to capitalize on home advantage and Melgar aiming to use their home leg to secure progression.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -134 (Tolima), 475 (Melgar), 230 (Draw) Deportes Tolima ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread -0.75 (Tolima) -110, 0.75 (Melgar) -120 Deportes Tolima -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5: 143, Under 2.5: -190 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Tolima is likely to win the first leg but may struggle in the second leg due to altitude.

Predicted Score: Tolima 2-1 Melgar (first leg)


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Deportes Tolima vs. FBC Melgar Prediction – February 21, 2025

Match Analysis: Deportes Tolima vs FBC Melgar – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-02-20 Time: 00:30 UTC Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro Game Overview Deportes Tolima hosts FBC Melgar in the first leg of the Copa Libertadores 2025. Tolima is favored due to home advantage, while Melgar aims to exploit the second leg's altitude advantage in […]

Deportes Tolima FBC Melgar February 21, 2025 Soccer

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Palmeiras-SP vs. Club Universitario de Deportes Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Club Universitario de Deportes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP hosts Club Universitario de Deportes in the second leg of the Round of 16 in the 2025 CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras holds a commanding advantage after a 4-0 away win in the first leg.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras remains unbeaten in 12 matches and has been in dominant form both domestically and internationally. Universitario have struggled against Palmeiras historically and were heavily defeated in the first leg 4-0.
  • Palmeiras leads convincingly with 2 wins and 0 draws against Universitario. The recent 4-0 away win in this tie highlights the clear dominance.
  • No significant injury news reported for Palmeiras. Universitario's injury status is unclear but their overall squad depth is inferior to Palmeiras.
  • The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground, Allianz Parque, providing a strong home advantage. Weather and travel fatigue favor Palmeiras less impacted due to home conditions.
  • Palmeiras is motivated to close out the tie comfortably in front of their home fans and progress deeper into the Copa Libertadores. Universitario face a nearly impossible task to overturn the large deficit.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: -315, Away: 825, Draw: 440 Palmeiras-SP ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Palmeiras-SP -1.5: -118, Universitario +1.5: -112 Palmeiras-SP -1.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 3: 110, Under 3: -145 Under 3 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras-SP -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras-SP to win outright (moneyline), covering a -1.5 spread, and the match to finish under 3 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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River Plate vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: River Plate vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Monumental, Buenos Aires

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores matchup features Argentine giants River Plate hosting Libertad Asuncion from Paraguay. River Plate enters as strong favorite, boasting home advantage, more consistent recent form, and superior squad depth, while Libertad has struggled away and faces a tough challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • River Plate have shown strong domestic and continental form recently, winning 4 of last 5, with tight defense and effective attack. Libertad's away form is weaker with limited goal scoring and defensive lapses.
  • Recent H2H matches favor River Plate, with the previous Copa Libertadores leg ending 1-0 to River Plate. Historically, River Plate dominates this fixture.
  • River Plate have no major injury concerns, fielding a near full-strength squad. Libertad is missing a key midfielder and a starting defender, weakening their middle and back lines.
  • The match is at River's home stadium in Buenos Aires, giving them clear crowd support and no travel fatigue. Libertad faces a long travel and less favorable pitch conditions.
  • River Plate is motivated to secure a strong home victory to control the tie. Libertad aims to contain but is under pressure given away deficit and away disadvantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline River Plate -325, Libertad Asuncion +1000, Draw +400 River Plate ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread River Plate -1.5 -115, Libertad +1.5 -115 River Plate -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 -125, Under 2.5 -105 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline River Plate -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate to win on the moneyline, cover a -1.5 goal spread, and match to go over 2.5 total goals

Predicted Score: 3-1


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LDU Quito vs. Botafogo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: LDU Quito vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito

Game Overview

This second leg matchup in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 features LDU Quito hosting Botafogo after the first leg in Rio de Janeiro. Botafogo carries momentum from a strong group stage and recent home advantage, while LDU Quito seeks to leverage home conditions and altitude in Quito.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo showed solid form advancing as second in Group A with 12 points, and has a keen defensive record at home, keeping 4 clean sheets in last 5 home Libertadores matches. LDU Quito have a less consistent recent form, including a recent away loss in their domestic league and limited recent Libertadores success at home.
  • The only recent reported clash saw Botafogo win 2-1 at home in a previous encounter. Overall, Botafogo has a slightly stronger historical edge, especially playing at home.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team before this match; new Botafogo signings settled in with no disruptions.
  • LDU Quito benefits from home altitude conditions which can be challenging for visiting teams like Botafogo, but Botafogo has previously shown resilience in away Libertadores matches.
  • Botafogo, as defending champions and with a streak of strong home performances, hold strong motivation to progress in the tournament. LDU Quito needs a positive home result to overturn the initial deficit and continue in the competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Home: 125, Away: 245, Draw: 220 Home (LDU Quito) win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread LDU Quito -0.25: -125, Botafogo +25: -105 Botafogo +0.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: 118, Under 2.5: -155 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline LDU Quito 26%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: LDU Quito at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Botafogo to win (Moneyline), LDU Quito +0.25 goals (Spread), Under 2.5 goals (Over/Under)

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Internacional-RS vs. Flamengo-RJ Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional-RS vs Flamengo-RJ – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

A tightly contested Copa Libertadores Round of 16 second-leg match between Internacional-RS and Flamengo-RJ, both strong Brazilian clubs battling for continental progression.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Internacional are in solid recent form with a 3-1 away win against Red Bull Bragantino showing attacking promise, while Flamengo have maintained strong home performance and recent Serie A success including a 2-1 win over Mirassol.
  • Recent encounters suggest a competitive balance with Flamengo winning the first leg 2-0 at Maracanã and previous league matches showing close scorelines such as a 1-1 draw.
  • No significant injuries or suspensions reported for either side that would severely impact starting lineups, indicating close to full-strength squads.
  • Match played at Internacional's home ground offers them slight advantage, though Flamengo’s confidence from first leg away win and experienced squad slightly offsets this factor.
  • Both sides are highly motivated: Flamengo to defend their first leg lead and Internacional to overturn the deficit on home soil in knockout competition context.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline +165 Flamengo-RJ ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Flamengo-RJ 0 -140 Flamengo-RJ -0 spread (win straight) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2 goals -150 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo-RJ 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 -0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo-RJ at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo moneyline (away win)

Predicted Score: 1-2 Flamengo-RJ


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Estudiantes La Plata vs. Cerro Porteño Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estudiantes La Plata vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Ciudad de La Plata, La Plata, Argentina

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores Round of 16 second leg features Estudiantes La Plata hosting Cerro Porteño with Estudiantes holding a narrow advantage from the first leg. The tie is balanced but Estudiantes have home advantage and recent form suggesting slight edge.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estudiantes are unbeaten in their last five home games, securing four wins and three clean sheets. They also have solid Copa Libertadores form with 4 wins, no draws, and 2 losses in six group games. Cerro Porteño have struggled defensively in the Libertadores, conceding 11 goals in 6 matches and losing 3 times.
  • In four Libertadores meetings, Estudiantes won once, two draws, and minimal goals scored overall. The previous leg ended with Estudiantes winning narrowly away 1-0, indicating a tight matchup historically and currently.
  • Estudiantes miss Joaquín Tobio Burgos (pelvic), Gabriel Neves (muscle), and Ezequiel Piovi (knee), impacting squad depth. Cerro Porteño's injury situation is less clear from available data but no major absences noted.
  • Estudiantes benefit from home support and familiarity with Estadio Ciudad de La Plata. Cerro Porteño will face travel and hostile atmosphere, which historically favors home team in Libertadores knockouts.
  • Estudiantes motivated to consolidate aggregate lead and progress in Libertadores; recent league defeat may heighten focus. Cerro Porteño motivated to overturn deficit, but defensive frailties and away challenge limit their confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -148 Estudiantes ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -0.75 -125 Estudiantes -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -140 / Under 2 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Estudiantes La Plata 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Estudiantes Moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Sao Paulo vs. Atlético Nacional S.A Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Atlético Nacional S.A – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Game Overview

The round of 16 Copa Libertadores clash between São Paulo and Atlético Nacional is a tightly poised fixture with São Paulo as slight favorites. Both teams come into the game on recent wins and solid group stage form, but the match's knockout nature and Atlético Nacional's home advantage add complexity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo finished top of their group with 4 wins and 2 draws, scoring 10 and conceding 4 goals. Atlético Nacional had 3 wins but 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 6, showing vulnerability but strong enough form at home.
  • Historically, the matchup has been balanced with close scorelines. Recent data suggest tight contests with likelihood of a draw or narrow win for either side.
  • No major injury news reported for either team impacting key starters, suggesting both teams can field their strongest lineups.
  • Match played at Atlético Nacional's home ground in Medellín, giving them altitude and fan support advantage. Weather and pitch condition expected to be typical with no disruptions.
  • São Paulo aims to secure an away win or draw with goals to ease second leg. Atlético Nacional highly motivated to leverage home advantage and start with an assertive result.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -122 São Paulo ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread -130 São Paulo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under -115 / -113 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlético Nacional S.A 120%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlético Nacional S.A at 120% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo moneyline

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Racing Club vs. Peñarol Montevideo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Racing Club vs Peñarol Montevideo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-20
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Perón (Racing Club's home)

Game Overview

A crucial Copa Libertadores match where Racing Club hosts Peñarol Montevideo. Both teams show contrasting recent forms and stats, with Racing favored at home by bookmakers but Peñarol boasting solid away defensive resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Racing Club is strong at home and favored by odds (-162 moneyline), but has shown some inconsistency lately. Peñarol has exceptional home form historically but is less dominant away and has scored few goals on the road recently.
  • Recent head-to-head fixtures show tight contests; previous match at Penarol's home ended 1-0 to Penarol, highlighting the defensive solidity and low scoring tendency in matchups.
  • Racing Club may be missing defender Germán Pezzella, weakening their backline. Peñarol has no significant injury concerns reported.
  • Travel fatigue for Peñarol may slightly reduce their away performance. The match's continental importance increases motivation for both sides.
  • Racing Club, playing at home, is motivated to leverage home advantage and improve group standings. Peñarol aims to defy odds and prove their strength away from Montevideo.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -162, draw: +290, away: +460 Racing Club ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread home: -132, away: +102, line: -0.75 Racing Club -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -150, under: +115, line: 2 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Racing Club -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Racing Club moneyline win

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Velez Sarsfield vs. Fortaleza-EC Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Velez Sarsfield vs Fortaleza-EC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-12
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Castelão, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

Fortaleza host Vélez Sarsfield in the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 first leg, with Fortaleza showing poor recent form but having home advantage; Vélez possess solid defense but have struggled recently on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fortaleza have won only 1 of their last 10 matches with poor offensive output (0.9 goals per game) and defensive vulnerabilities (2.2 conceded per game). Vélez Sarsfield have been losing recently but maintain better defensive discipline and possession stats.
  • These teams have never met before, adding unpredictability to the match dynamics.
  • No notable injury information available for either side, implying lineups will be near full strength.
  • Fortaleza play at home in a familiar environment. The match is a high-stakes Copa Libertadores knockout game, increasing motivation for both sides.
  • Both teams are motivated but Fortaleza may have increased urgency to recover from their recent poor run especially on home soil.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Velez Sarsfield -110, Fortaleza-EC +360, Draw +225 Velez Sarsfield ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Velez Sarsfield -0.5 -122, Fortaleza-EC +50 -108 Velez Sarsfield -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 -108, Under 2 -122 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza-EC 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Velez Sarsfield win; Spread: Velez Sarsfield -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs River Plate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion, Paraguay

Game Overview

This Round of 16 first-leg Copa Libertadores matchup features Libertad Asuncion hosting River Plate. Libertad has a home advantage but has shown modest recent form, while River Plate is slightly favored with stronger overall performance and away resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad has a recent run of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with an average of 1.00 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, possessing 31.3% ball control. River Plate is unbeaten in six, scoring 1.47 goals on average with a stronger attack and 41.8% possession.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings show a balanced but slightly River Plate-favored record, with two encounters last season and tight scorelines.
  • No explicit injury reports available; assume both sides near full strength based on latest data.
  • The match venue favors Libertad, playing at home in Asuncion, but River Plate's experience in Libertadores knockout rounds partly offsets this.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure an advantage in the two-legged tie. River Plate's international pedigree may boost their competitive edge while Libertad will aim to capitalize on home conditions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad 330, River Plate -110, Draw 235 River Plate ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Libertad +50 -115, River Plate -0.5 -115 River Plate -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -140, Under 2 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline River Plate 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to have under 2 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 0-1


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