Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Audi Field
Game Overview
Philadelphia Union visits D.C. United for a regular-season MLS clash. Philadelphia are in strong form with an 18-6-7 overall record and significantly better away form than D.C. United, who struggle at home with a 2-7-6 record. Philadelphia leads the standings with 60 points, while D.C. United are near the bottom with 25 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union holds clear superiority overall and away with 18-6-7 vs DC's 5-10-16 record. Philadelphia has been more consistent, especially recently, while D.C. United have multiple losses and draws at home.
- Historically, Philadelphia has performed better head to head with more wins and fewer losses against D.C. United. Recent encounters favor Philadelphia given their better form and home dominance.
- No significant injury updates are currently reported for either team, allowing both squads to field strong lineups.
- Match at Audi Field presents a home advantage for D.C. United but their poor home record and motivation gap diminish this edge. Weather and travel conditions are expected to have minimal impact.
- Philadelphia Union motivated by playoff positioning and high point total; D.C. United less motivated due to low standings and poor results.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | D.C. United: 255, Philadelphia Union: -104, Draw: 270 | Philadelphia Union | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | D.C. United +50: -122, Philadelphia Union -0.5: -109 | Philadelphia Union -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -152, Under 2.5: 114 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Philadelphia Union 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 28% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline with the game likely staying below 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union 1 – 0 D.C. United