Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Orlando City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Audi Field, Washington, D.C.
Game Overview
D.C. United hosts Orlando City SC in an MLS regular season match. Orlando City holds a significantly better season record and form compared to D.C. United, who have struggled especially at home. The game is expected to be competitive but tilted towards Orlando City's advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Orlando City holds a 13-8-7 record versus D.C. Unitedβs 5-9-15. Orlando City has won 5 of their last 6 matches (4 wins in last 5), whereas D.C. United lost 4 of their last 6. Orlando City performs well both home and away, while D.C. United is notably weak at home this season (2-6-6).
- Historically, Orlando City has the edge with more wins and better recent results against D.C. United. D.C. Unitedβs home record against Orlando is poor, while Orlando Cityβs away form is solid and better than D.C.βs home performance.
- No significant injury updates are available for either squad at this time, suggesting that both teams likely will field their best available lineups.
- No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or adverse weather conditions appear to impact the match. Orlando City travels from Florida to Washington, which is a manageable distance without significant disadvantage.
- Orlando City aims to consolidate a playoff position with strong recent form and better points tally. D.C. United, with fewer points and recent poor form, have motivation to defend home turf but face pressure from their inconsistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 216, away: 110, draw: 275 | Away (Orlando City SC) moneyline | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | home_minus_0_5: -139, away_plus_0_5: 105 | Away Orlando City -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over_2_5: -159, under_2_5: 118 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Orlando City SC 9% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 24% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Orlando City SC to win on the moneyline offering value against poor home form by D.C. United.
Predicted Score: 0-1