Match Analysis: D.C. United vs New England Revolution – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-28
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Audi Field, Washington, DC
Game Overview
The MLS regular season match between D.C. United and New England Revolution on May 28, 2025, at Audi Field is set to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have had mixed recent results in their previous head-to-head clashes, with D.C. United winning 3-1 in their last home meeting in February 2024, while the New England Revolution secured a 2-1 victory earlier in October 2024 on D.C. United's ground. This matchup represents an opportunity for both sides to assert dominance early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- D.C. United are playing at home with a recent positive record against New England, including a 3-1 win in February 2024. New England Revolution, while showing strength in some away games, have had mixed results against D.C. United recently. Current form data for the season is limited but historical matches indicate a balanced rivalry.
- The last five matches between these teams show a competitive balance: D.C. United won twice (3-1 in Feb 2024 and 2-1 in Oct 2024), New England Revolution won twice (4-0 in July 2023 and 2-1 in March 2023), and one 1-0 win for New England in August 2022.
- No specific injury updates are currently available for either team from the provided data, implying both squads are likely near full strength for this match.
- The game is played at Audi Field, a venue where D.C. United have home advantage. Weather conditions and other external factors were not specified but typical late May weather in Washington, DC, is generally mild and favorable for soccer.
- Both teams are motivated to gain early points in the season. The home side, D.C. United, will be keen to leverage their home crowd support, while New England Revolution will look to assert themselves by overcoming a challenging away fixture.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | D.C. United: 127, New England Revolution: 189, Draw: 265 | D.C. United Win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | D.C. United -0.5: 121, New England Revolution +50: -161 | D.C. United -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -141, Under 2.5: 106 | Under 2.5 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | D.C. United -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
D.C. United are favored to win narrowly due to home advantage and recent positive results in head-to-head games. A closely contested game with a potential for both teams to score is expected, but D.C. United edges it.
Predicted Score: 2-1