Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-05
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Audi Field, Washington, D.C., USA
Game Overview
The MLS match between D.C. United and Atlanta United FC is set at Audi Field on July 5, 2025. Both teams have struggled this season, with D.C. United losing 50% of their matches and Atlanta United suffering 5 losses in their last 6 away games. Historically, Atlanta United has a slight edge in head-to-head with 10 wins to D.C. United's 7 in their last 19 encounters. Recent form shows both teams have difficulty keeping clean sheets and scoring consistently.
Key Factors to Consider
- D.C. United have won only 1 of their last 9 home MLS matches and have conceded at least 1 goal in their last 11 meetings with Atlanta United. Atlanta United scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches but have lost their last 3 games and have not kept a clean sheet in 16 matches.
- Out of their last 19 matches, Atlanta United leads with 10 wins, D.C. United has 7 wins, and there have been 2 draws. Historically, D.C. United has struggled defending against Atlanta United, conceding at least 1 goal in the last 11 consecutive encounters.
- No specific injury information is currently available for either team ahead of this match.
- Playing at home in Audi Field should be an advantage for D.C. United, despite their poor recent home form. Atlanta United's poor away form could also influence the match outcome. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but assumed typical for early July in Washington, D.C.
- Both teams are positioned in the lower half of the MLS standings (D.C. 12th, Atlanta 14th) and are likely motivated to secure important points to climb the table, increasing competitive intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Atlanta United FC: 150, D.C. United: 165, Draw: 270 | D.C. United to win | β β β ββ 58% |
Spread | Atlanta United FC 0: -115, D.C. United 0: -105 | D.C. United to cover the spread (draw no bet) | β β β ββ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | D.C. United -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A closely contested match with a slight edge to D.C. United at home, potentially winning 2-1. Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting goals on both sides but a narrow D.C. United victory.
Predicted Score: 2-1