Match Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Brentford – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Selhurst Park
Game Overview
Crystal Palace hosts Brentford in a tight EPL matchup with both teams showing moderate scoring ability. Palace have a strong defense but recent inconsistency, while Brentford score slightly more but concede more. Palace are slight favorites on odds and recent cup performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Crystal Palace scores 1.33 goals per game (11th in EPL) and concedes 1.00 (4th best defense). Brentford scores 1.56 (9th) but concedes 1.56 (16th). Palace recently beat Liverpool in the League Cup but have inconsistent league form. Brentford has steadier but less defensively sound form.
- Recent H2H matchups are competitive with no clear dominance. Both teams have traded wins but Palace have home advantage at Selhurst Park.
- Crystal Palace might miss Chris Richards (doubtful), but no major reports for Brentford. Otherwise, both sides have their key scorers fit including Palace's Mateta and Brentford's Thiago.
- Palace face fixture congestion with League Cup Quarter Final and Conference League games coming, potentially impacting squad freshness. Brentford have a lighter schedule recently.
- Palace motivated to stabilize Premier League form after recent slump and build on big cup win. Brentford look to capitalize on Palaceβs fixture congestion and maintain mid-table progress.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -111, away: +275, draw: +260 | Home Win | β β β ββ 68% |
| Spread | home_-0.5: -114, away_+50: -117 | Crystal Palace -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: -139, under_2.5: 105 | Under 2.5 Goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace 118% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 23% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Crystal Palace at 118% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Crystal Palace to Win
Predicted Score: 2-0