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Cruzeiro vs. Vitoria Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Vitoria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Mineirao, Belo Horizonte, Brazil

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Vitoria in a Brazil Serie A clash with both teams in contrasting form. Cruzeiro is strong at home, while Vitoria struggles away and offensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro averages 2.33 PPG at home, 2.53 goals scored per home game, and 0.73 conceded. Vitoria averages 1.47 PPG away, 1 goal scored per away game, and 0.67 conceded. Cruzeiro’s xG at home is 1.65, while Vitoria’s xG away is well below 1.0. Vitoria has failed to score in 47% of away games.
  • Recent H2H shows tight matches, but Cruzeiro has dominated at home. Vitoria has only 1 win in 15 away Serie A fixtures in 2025.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of latest updates.
  • Cruzeiro’s home advantage is significant, with a 73% home win rate. Vitoria’s away record is poor, with only 1 win in 15 away games. Weather and pitch conditions are expected to be standard.
  • Cruzeiro is fighting for a top-half finish, while Vitoria is battling relegation and lacks confidence on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -235, away: 625, draw: 340 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: 105, away: -125 Cruzeiro -1.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro to win to nil is the highest EV play, given Vitoria’s poor away scoring record and Cruzeiro’s defensive solidity at home.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Flamengo vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-02
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Flamengo, currently 2nd in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A, hosts bottom-ranked Sport Recife with a dominant home record and strong recent form. Sport Recife struggle significantly on the road, with poor away form and defensive vulnerabilities. Flamengo is heavily favored to win given squad strength, home advantage, and motivation to solidify league position.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo are unbeaten at home this season with 10 wins and 5 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per match. Sport Recife have only 2 wins in 29 matches, with poor away form (1 win, 3 draws, 6 losses in last 10) and a negative goal difference of -24.
  • Historically, Flamengo dominate head-to-head with 4 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in recent meetings. At home, Flamengo has a 6-1-3 record versus Sport Recife in last 10 encounters.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for Flamengo. Sport Recife lineup expected to be at full strength but lack depth compared to hosts.
  • No adverse weather or external conditions expected. Match played at Maracanã stadium, favoring Flamengo with a strong home crowd presence.
  • Flamengo aims to maintain their high league standing and push for the title; Sport Recife fight to avoid relegation, but morale and form are low, reducing their competitiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -600, away: +1400, draw: +600 Home (Flamengo) ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: +102, away: -122, spread_line: -2 Home -2 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: -125, under: +105, line: 2.75 Under 2.75 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win decisively

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Mirassol vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 9:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, Brazil

Game Overview

Mirassol hosts Botafogo in a key Brazilian Serie A match late in the season, with both teams highly competitive in the standings and coming off an exciting 3-3 draw earlier in the campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol currently sits 4th with 39 points, showing strong home form and attacking efficiency, especially in creating and finishing chances. Botafogo, placed 7th with 36 points, also possesses solid offense but has been less consistent away.
  • Their only meeting this season ended in a 3-3 draw characterized by open attacking play and no clear dominance, reflecting a competitive balance between the sides.
  • No significant injury reports prominently affect either side, suggesting near full-strength squads for this match.
  • The game is played at Mirassol's home stadium, giving them a slight edge with home crowd support and familiarity with pitch conditions.
  • Mirassol aims to consolidate a top-four position for potential continental qualification, while Botafogo seeks to close the gap and maintain pressure in a tight league race, enhancing the match's intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: +124, Botafogo: +215, Draw: +230 Mirassol ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Mirassol -0.25: -108, Botafogo +25: -112 Mirassol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.5: +100, Under 2.5: -120 Over 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mirassol win; Spread: Mirassol -0.25; Over/Under: Over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Santos vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Santos vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Urbano Caldeira, Santos, Brazil

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brasileiro matchup features Santos hosting Fortaleza in a relegation-battle clash. Santos are the slight favorites playing at home but have struggled for consistency. Fortaleza enter on the back of a notable win over Flamengo but have an injury-hit squad. Both teams are fighting to avoid relegation, ensuring high intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Santos hold 32 points with 8 wins and 13 losses, showing inconsistent form. Fortaleza have 27 points and recent momentum from a 1-0 victory against Flamengo but are generally weaker, especially away.
  • Over the last five meetings, Fortaleza have won 3 times, Santos 2 times. The last meeting was a close 3-2 win for Santos, indicating a competitive rivalry with a slight Fortaleza historical edge.
  • Fortaleza have several key injuries impacting squad depth, reducing their defensive solidity and attacking options, which could limit their effectiveness away.
  • Playing at home with strong fan support benefits Santos. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be typical, no external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams face relegation danger, but Fortaleza's recent win over a top side suggests heightened motivation to secure points and change their fortunes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: +355, Santos: -136, Draw: +275 Santos ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Fortaleza +75: -118, Santos -0.75: -102 Santos -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santos 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santos to win on the moneyline, covering -0.75 on the spread and the match to go over 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Fluminense vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-29
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracana, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This matchup between Fluminense and Ceará presents Fluminense with a home advantage, having won 60% of their last 10 home games. Ceará has shown competitive form away from home but lacks consistency compared to Fluminense. The match is expected to be low-scoring, with historical trends favoring fewer than 2.5 goals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense holds a strong home record, winning 6 of their last 10 matches. Ceará has struggled on the road, winning only 3 of their last 10 away games.
  • Historical head-to-head data is not explicitly provided, but recent form suggests Fluminense has an edge.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with a temperature of around 21°C, which should not significantly impact the game.
  • Fluminense's strong home form and Ceará's inconsistent away performances may influence the teams' motivation, with Fluminense likely to be more confident.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará: 500, Fluminense: -172, Draw: 270 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Ceará: +75 108, Fluminense: -0.75 -128 Fluminense -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win, under 2.5 goals, and the spread favoring Fluminense.

Predicted Score: 1-0 to Fluminense


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Palmeiras vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosts Cruzeiro in a crucial Brazil Campeonato match featuring two teams with contrasting recent forms and league standings. Palmeiras is the home favorite with stronger form and a solid home record, while Cruzeiro has been impressive on the road but less consistent overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras is unbeaten in their last 5 home matches and leads the home standings with 5 wins from 5 games, scoring 8 goals and conceding 3. Cruzeiro is strong away with 5 matches unbeaten away, 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Palmeiras recently scored 17 goals in 5 matches showing strong attacking form, while Cruzeiro manages fewer goals overall.
  • In recent head-to-head encounters, Palmeiras and Cruzeiro have 9 and 10 wins respectively with 10 draws overall historically. The last 3 meetings produced no draws, indicating a trend toward decisive results. The last encounter (June 1, 2025) saw Cruzeiro win 2-1 away from home.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either squad have been noted recently, maintaining full competitive strength for both sides.
  • The match is hosted at Allianz Parque, favoring Palmeiras strongly, with positive home form and fan support. Weather conditions and pitch appear normal without impact.
  • Palmeiras are motivated to consolidate their top league position at home. Cruzeiro, trailing in points, are also highly motivated to gain ground but face challenges against Palmeiras' home resilience.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras: -126, Cruzeiro: 355, Draw: 250 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Palmeiras -0.5: -125, Cruzeiro +50: 105 Palmeiras -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Bragantino-SP vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Vasco da Gama – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP hosts Vasco da Gama in a key Brasileirão match, with both teams seeking vital points in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino and Vasco da Gama have shown mixed form recently, with both teams capable of scoring but also vulnerable defensively.
  • Historically, their matches have seen a high number of goals, with both teams often finding the back of the net.
  • No significant injury updates are available that would drastically affect the outcome.
  • Home advantage could slightly favor Bragantino, but both teams are well-motivated.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points for league positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino-SP: +113, Vasco da Gama: +230, Draw: +240 Bragantino-SP win ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Bragantino-SP: -0.25 -118, Vasco da Gama: 25 -102 Bragantino-SP covers ★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105, Under 2.5: -115 Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical data and recent form, both teams are likely to score, but the safer bet seems to be favoring a high-scoring match.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Bragantino-SP


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Grêmio vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

Grêmio, in need of points for league stability, hosts relegation-threatened Juventude, which is struggling severely on the road. The home team is a clear betting favorite, but Juventude showed brief signs of life with a rare win last round. Still, both teams have been inconsistent, with Grêmio slightly stronger in attack and Juventude porous defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio averages more goals scored (1.1 to 0.8) and has a stronger recent home record than Juventude away, where the visitors have just 1 win, 2 draws, and 11 losses[1][4]. Juventude’s defense is the second-worst in the league (53 goals conceded), while Grêmio’s attack has been inconsistent.
  • Grêmio won the last meeting 2-0 away in June 2025[5]. Overall, Grêmio has 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses in the last 10, holding a slight historical edge[1].
  • No major injuries reported in current sources.
  • Juventude is desperate for points to avoid relegation, which may push them to play more cautiously on the road. Grêmio, with home advantage, is expected to control tempo and field position.
  • Grêmio is motivated to secure a top-half finish, Juventude fights for survival—pressure could impact both sides' risk tolerance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio -141, Juventude +390, Draw +265 Grêmio ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Grêmio -0.75 (-105), Juventude +75 (-115) Grêmio -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-110), Under 2.25 (-110) Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio -20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 28%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

No prediction available.

Predicted Score: Grêmio 1–0 Juventude


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Botafogo vs. Santos Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Botafogo vs Santos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nilton Santos (Engenhão), Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

Botafogo hosts Santos in a Paulista Campeonato clash where Botafogo holds a moderate home advantage and sits higher in the league standings. Santos struggles away but is capable of scoring, making for a competitive match with potential for low-margin outcomes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo has a solid recent home form with 5 wins in last 10 games, compared to Santos with only 3 wins away with a mixed record. Botafogo has a positive goal difference (+13), whereas Santos has a negative one (-12).
  • In recent encounters, Botafogo holds a slight edge having won their last meeting 1-0. H2H results show Botafogo winning 6 matches while Santos has 2 wins in 11 meetings, with 5 draws.
  • No explicit absences or injury reports noted in recent data; squad appears close to full strength for both sides.
  • The game is played at Botafogo’s home ground where they have shown consistent performances; weather and pitch conditions are expected to favor the home team.
  • Botafogo, sitting higher in standings and coming off recent victory over Santos, will be motivated to maintain momentum; Santos aims to improve away form to avoid relegation trouble.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Botafogo: -128, Santos: 355, Draw: 250 Botafogo ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Botafogo -0.5: -125, Santos +50: 105 Botafogo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Botafogo -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Botafogo moneyline to win, with a narrow margin expected; also back Over 2.25 goals given offensive tendencies of Santos away and Botafogo’s scoring capabilities.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Sao Paulo vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Morumbi Stadium, São Paulo

Game Overview

A Brasileirão Serie A match between mid-table rivals with São Paulo seeking to improve their inconsistent season and Bahia aiming to climb higher into the upper half. Both sides have shown attacking intent but have struggled for consistency at the back.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo have won 6 of their last 10 home matches (60% win rate), while Bahia have only 2 wins in their last 10 away (20% win rate). Both teams have scored in a majority of their recent games, though São Paulo struggle for clean sheets and Bahia score regularly on the road. Neither team is in peak form, but São Paulo’s home edge is notable[2].
  • Head-to-head stats show São Paulo with a slight psychological edge, especially at home. Recent meetings have seen a mix of results, but nothing overwhelming in favor of either side. Neither team has dominated this fixture in the past year.
  • No major injuries reported in the latest starting lineups; both teams are expected to field close to full-strength XIs with minimal absences[3].
  • No significant external factors (weather, travel, suspensions, etc.) are reported that would impact the match.
  • Bahia are higher in the table but need points to challenge for a Copa Libertadores spot; São Paulo have more to play for in mid-table, with both teams desperate for a win to improve their final positions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline São Paulo -109, Draw +235, Bahia +310 São Paulo win ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Bahia +50 (-112), São Paulo -0.5 (-108) São Paulo -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 63%
Over/under Over 2.25 +110, Under 2.25 -130 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 93%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 93% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo are slight favorites at home (best odds 2.07 vs Bahia 3.85), but the match is likely to be close, with both teams scoring and the Over 2.25 goals market as a value play given the league context and recent scoring trends[1][2].

Predicted Score: São Paulo 2-1 Bahia


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