Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Santos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Mineirão, Belo Horizonte
Game Overview
Cruzeiro hosts Santos in a Brasileirão Serie A clash. Cruzeiro is in strong form and ranks 2nd in the league, while Santos struggles near the relegation zone at 15th place. The match is critical for Cruzeiro to maintain title push momentum and for Santos to avoid further distancing from safety.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cruzeiro has won 11 of 18 matches with a +19 goal difference, showing balanced attack and defense. Santos has only 5 wins in 17 matches with a -4 goal difference, reflecting struggles on both ends.
- Historically, Cruzeiro dominates recent encounters vs. Santos, with a higher win rate and positive goal differential, giving them psychological and tactical edges.
- No major absences reported for either team, suggesting near-full strength squads available for selection.
- Match played at Cruzeiro's home ground, where they have strong support and a high win rate, providing a clear advantage.
- Cruzeiro motivated to consolidate top league position and fight for the title. Santos highly motivated to escape relegation zone but lacks consistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro: -180, Santos: 525, Draw: 300 | Cruzeiro | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Cruzeiro: -1 -102, Santos: 1 -118 | Cruzeiro -1 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Cruzeiro -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cruzeiro win
Predicted Score: 2-0