Match Analysis: Cremonese vs Atalanta BC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona, Italy
Game Overview
Cremonese hosts Atalanta in a mid-table Serie A clash where Atalanta remains unbeaten this season while Cremonese defend a solid home unbeaten record. Both teams have shown balanced form with Atalanta slightly ahead in points and offensive firepower.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta is unbeaten with 2 wins and 5 draws, scoring 11 goals this season; Cremonese has 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss and is unbeaten at home with one win and two draws in three games.
- In their last meeting in January 2023, Atalanta won 3-1 away. Historically, Atalanta have been the stronger side but Cremonese can be resilient at home.
- No significant injury news reported for either side affecting key players.
- No disruptive external factors reported. Match at Cremonese's home gives a slight advantage to the host.
- Both teams sit mid-table with closely matched points; Cremonese motivated to maintain a good home record and avoid slipping closer to relegation, Atalanta aims to keep their unbeaten streak.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atalanta: -161, Cremonese: 425, Draw: 310 | Atalanta | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Atalanta -0.75: -125, Cremonese +75: 105 | Atalanta -0.75 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -105 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atalanta BC 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Atalanta BC at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atalanta Moneyline, Atalanta -0.75 Spread, Over 2.5 Goals
Predicted Score: 1-2