Match Analysis: Coventry City vs Norwich City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, England
Game Overview
Coventry City hosting Norwich City in an EFL Championship clash with Coventry currently 5th and Norwich 11th in the league. Coventry has shown strong recent form at home, while Norwich has struggled historically against Coventry and currently has multiple injuries.
Key Factors to Consider
- Coventry City has won 3 of their last 5 matches scoring 7 goals and conceding fewer, showing solid form. Norwich City has won 3 of their last 5 but concedes more goals on average with defensive vulnerabilities.
- Norwich has dominated historically in all-time meetings with 12 wins to Coventryβs 4, but recent 14 meetings show Norwich haven't beaten Coventry (11 losses, 3 draws). Average goals per match is around 3.2.
- Coventry misses Joel Latibeaudiere, Josh Eccles, and Oliver Dovin due to injury but no major first-team absences. Norwich faces more challenges with suspensions and injuries to Wright (suspended), Amankwah, Forsyth, Stacey, and Mahovo.
- Home advantage is significant for Coventry, playing at Coventry Building Society Arena. Norwich has injury/suspension disruption and travels away with a less stable lineup.
- Coventry's higher league position and strong home form motivate them to maintain proximity to playoff spots, while Norwich aims to climb but may lack consistency and full squad strength.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -146, away: 335, draw: 285 | Coventry City | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | home_-0.75: -108, away_+75: -112 | Coventry City -0.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over_2.75: -115, under_2.75: -105 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Coventry City -1% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coventry City to win
Predicted Score: 2-1