Match Analysis: Corinthians vs Ceará – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Game Overview
This Brasileirão Série A match features Corinthians hosting Ceará. Corinthians have stronger home form, better recent results, and a historical edge over Ceará, who struggle away from home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Corinthians have won 7 of 15 home games with good offensive output (35 goals scored). Ceará have only 3 wins in 16 away games and a weaker recent run.
- Corinthians have consistently outperformed Ceará in recent direct confrontations, maintaining a positive record at home.
- No critical injury information available, suggesting both teams approach with near full squads.
- Match at Neo Quimica Arena favors Corinthians strongly due to crowd and familiarity; no adverse weather or other disruptions reported.
- Corinthians aim to secure points to move closer to international competition qualification, their motivation higher than Ceará's.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Corinthians: -140, Draw: 241, Ceará: 411 | Corinthians | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | Corinthians -0.75 (-103), Ceará +75 (-117) | Corinthians -0.75 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2 (-144), Under 2 (124) | Under 2 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Corinthians 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 34% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Corinthians moneyline win
Predicted Score: 2-0