Match Analysis: Como vs Cremonese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 1:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Game Overview
Como hosts Cremonese in a tightly contested Serie A match with Como as favorites due to home advantage and slightly better recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Como have a decent recent record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last four matches. Cremonese have 2 draws followed by 2 wins, showing improving form but still less consistent.
- Recent direct encounters between Como and Cremonese have been closely contested, with no significant dominance from either side, tending toward balanced outcomes.
- No significant injury updates available that would majorly impact the lineups; both teams expected to field near full-strength squads.
- Como playing at home in Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia enhances their chances given crowd support and pitch familiarity.
- As a home side, Como will be motivated to secure points early in the season to build momentum, whereas Cremonese aim to continue recent positive results on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Como -194, Draw +335, Cremonese +525 | Como | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Como -1 -122, Cremonese +1 +102 | Como -1 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 -112, Under 2.5 -108 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Como -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Como Moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-0
