Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs Toronto FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Lower.com Field, Columbus, OH, USA
Game Overview
Columbus Crew SC hosts Toronto FC in an MLS regular-season match where Columbus is the stronger side both historically and currently, with a solid goal differential and better league position. Toronto FC is struggling this season with a poor record and lower offensive output.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Crew SC holds a 13-10-6 record with 49 points, scoring 48 goals and conceding 43. They average 1.48 goals conceded per 90 minutes. Toronto FC has a poorer record of 5-11-13 with 26 points and less potency on offense.
- Columbus Crew has consistently dominated recent matchups, winning the majority of the season encounters. The home advantage at Lower.com Field further favors Columbus.
- There are no significant injuries reported for Columbus Crew SC. Toronto FC's key players are available but their overall quality and impact remain below Columbus's lineup.
- Playing at home at Lower.com Field benefits Columbus greatly, with familiar conditions and local support. There are no significant external disruptions reported.
- Columbus Crew SC is motivated to secure points to solidify playoff positioning, while Toronto FC has less motivation given their position far down the league table.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC -192, Toronto FC +450, Draw +350 | Columbus Crew SC | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Columbus Crew SC -1.5 +130, Toronto FC +1.5 -175 | Columbus Crew SC -1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -179, Under 2.5 +134 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 40% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew SC to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.5 spread and match ends under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-0