Match Analysis: Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-24
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: DICK'S Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, CO
Game Overview
Colorado Rapids host St. Louis City SC in a Western Conference MLS fixture. Colorado is favored based on recent form and head-to-head dominance, coming off a strong win in their last match. St. Louis, under new management, is still gelling and has struggled in direct matchups with Colorado. The match is expected to be competitive, with Colorado likely to control possession and chances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado Rapids have been in solid form, recently defeating LAFC and having won both matches against St. Louis City last season. St. Louis is competitive but has not matched Colorado's recent results. Coloradoβs midfield and attack, led by Djordje Mihailovic, are in good form[3][4].
- Colorado Rapids won both matches against St. Louis City SC last season (3-0 away, 4-1 home). The Rapids have a clear psychological advantage in this matchup[3][4].
- No major injury concerns reported for either side. Colorado has several new signings and potential debuts, which could bring fresh energy, but not disrupt team chemistry[3].
- Colorado will have home advantage and is expected to benefit from strong fan support. There are no abnormal weather issues expected. The Rapids are also coming off a midweek win, which boosts morale[3].
- Colorado Rapids are motivated to maintain their strong start and momentum, while St. Louis City is eager to prove themselves under new management and improve their record against Colorado[3][5].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rapids: -111, St. Louis City SC: 260, Draw: 290 | Colorado Rapids | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Colorado Rapids: -0.5 -115, St. Louis City SC: 50 -115 | Colorado Rapids -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -172, Under: 2.5 130 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rapids 20% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -0% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Colorado Rapids at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Rapids are favored to win based on recent form, head-to-head record, and home advantage. St. Louis City SC will likely focus on defending, but may struggle to contain Coloradoβs attack. Expect a tightly contested match with Colorado more likely to edge it.
Predicted Score: Colorado Rapids 2 – 1 St. Louis City SC