Match Analysis: Club Universitario de Deportes vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: TBA (likely neutral or home venue Universitario de Deportes)
Game Overview
This is a CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores match between Club Universitario de Deportes and Palmeiras-SP. Palmeiras is the Brazilian Serie A leader with strong recent form, while Universitario has a mixed recent record. The match is part of the knockout phase scheduled in mid-August 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Palmeiras have a strong record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses recently, averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceding 0.8 per match. Universitario has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses recently, scoring 2.2 goals but with a very low goals conceded rate of 0.2 per match, suggesting a solid defense.
- Since 2021, Palmeiras won 2 matches against Universitario, who failed to register wins. Total goals scored in encounters are 9 for Palmeiras versus 2 for Universitario. Both matches featured over 2 goals, with Palmeiras dominant in outcomes.
- No specific injury information is available from the data sources for either team prior to this match.
- The final's venue is announced as the Monumental de Lima for November, but this match’s exact venue is not specified. Travel and altitude may affect Universitario positively if played in Peru.
- Palmeiras, leading Brazil’s Serie A and historically strong in Libertadores, are likely highly motivated to advance. Universitario, playing at home and with recent defensive solidity, will aim to upset the favored Palmeiras.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club Universitario de Deportes: 340, Palmeiras-SP: 100, Draw: 205 | Palmeiras win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Club Universitario de Deportes +50: -128, Palmeiras-SP -0.5: -102 | Palmeiras -0.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2 goals: 110, Under 2 goals: -145 | Under 2 goals | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Palmeiras-SP 164% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 164% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras is favored to win with high confidence given superior form, head-to-head dominance, and stronger squad depth. A draw is plausible if Universitario leverages home advantage and defense.
Predicted Score: Palmeiras 1 – 0 Club Universitario de Deportes