Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-27
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL, USA
Game Overview
Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls meet in an MLS match where Chicago enters as the favorite at home. Both teams show comparable records with Chicago slightly better offensively and defensively, but Chicago has better recent form and home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Fire ranks 4th in MLS scoring with 44 goals in 23 games and concede 40 goals; New York Red Bulls have scored 39 goals in 24 games but conceded 35 goals. Chicago's recent form includes a strong 2-0 win last outing, while New York lost 5-1 in their last match.
- Historically, Chicago Fire has often dominated at home against New York, with slightly better recent head-to-head results contributing to higher confidence for the home side.
- No major injury reports affecting key players have been highlighted for either team at this time.
- The match is played at Soldier Field with home support favoring Chicago. Weather and travel do not pose significant concerns.
- Chicago aims to consolidate their playoff position and maintain positive momentum. New York, winless in recent away underdog matches, faces motivational pressure but lower confidence due to recent heavy defeat.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire: -105, New York Red Bulls: 260, Draw: 290 | Chicago Fire | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Chicago Fire -0.5: -105, New York Red Bulls +50: -115 | Chicago Fire -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 3: -102, Under 3: -118 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire 7% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Fire to win (moneyline), Chicago Fire -0.5 (spread), Over 3 goals
Predicted Score: 3-1