Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs New York City FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago
Game Overview
Crucial Eastern Conference clash between two playoff hopefuls, Chicago Fire (9th place) and New York City FC (8th place), both fighting for postseason positioning with only seven games left in the regular season.
Key Factors to Consider
- New York City FC holds a slight edge in form, sitting two points above Chicago Fire with a game in hand. NYCFC have shown strong performance recently with key victories over Nashville SC and FC Cincinnati, while Chicago Fire have been competitive but trailing just behind in standings.
- Earlier in the season, New York City FC defeated Chicago Fire 3-1 at home in May. Historically and recently, NYCFC have had the upper hand in direct confrontations.
- No significant absences reported that would severely impact either teamβs starting XI for this match.
- The match is at Chicagoβs home field which slightly favors the Fire. However, NYCFC's motivation due to a home-heavy upcoming schedule may energize their performance here on the road.
- Both teams are deeply motivated, chasing playoff spots with NYCFC aiming to solidify or move up in the table, while Chicago looks to close the gap and improve playoff positioning at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire: +109, New York City FC: +218, Draw: +275 | New York City FC | β β β ββ 66% |
Spread | Chicago Fire -0.5: +104, New York City FC +50: -139 | Chicago Fire -0.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | Over 3.5: +131, Under 3.5: -175 | Over 3.5 Goals | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York City FC 40% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York City FC at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York City FC to win outright
Predicted Score: 2-3