Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: GEODIS Park, Nashville, TN
Game Overview
Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew SC meet in a closely matched MLS contest with both teams mid-table and similar points totals. The match is expected to have moderate scoring and competitive intensity.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Fire have 45 points in 30 games (13-6-11), showing a decent attack but a weak defense conceding 53 goals this season. Columbus Crew have 50 points in 31 games (13-11-7), slightly better defensive numbers and more consistent recent form.
- Recent head-to-heads show a balanced rivalry with both teams having similar results. Both teams have positive goal differentials but Chicago slightly lower in defensive solidity.
- No major injury news reported; squads expected near full strength for the match.
- Game played at neutral venue GEODIS Park in Nashville, which slightly reduces home advantage. Weather and other external conditions expected to be neutral.
- Both teams are mid-table aiming to secure playoff positioning late in season, but Columbus Crew's slightly better standing may give them marginal psychological edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 113 | Chicago Fire win | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | 108 | Chicago Fire -0.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | 109 | Over 3.5 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Fire to win on the moneyline with over 3.5 goals scored in the match.
Predicted Score: 3-2