Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 6:30 PM UTC
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL, USA
Game Overview
This MLS encounter features Chicago Fire hosting Atlanta United. The two teams have a relatively balanced head-to-head record, with Atlanta slightly ahead in total wins. Both sides have had mixed results recently, but Chicago has a strong historical record at home. The expected encounter is a close contest with a moderate likelihood of goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chicago Fire have won 4 of the last 8 home matches against Atlanta United, with 3 draws and 1 loss. Recent form shows Chicago with 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5, scoring 1.0 goals per match but conceding 2.4. Atlanta United, meanwhile, recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5, scoring only 0.4 goals per match but conceding 1.8.
- Chicago Fire and Atlanta United have played 16 matches since 2017. Chicago have won 5, Atlanta 8, with 3 draws. The average goals per match is 2.9-3.1, indicating moderate attacking output.
- No major injury news is available for either team as of the latest update.
- The match will be played at Chicago's Soldier Field. No major weather issues are expected, but home field advantage remains significant. Odds reflect a slight edge to Chicago at home.
- Both teams are mid-table contenders, and each will be motivated to secure points to climb the standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire: 110, Atlanta United: 210, Draw: 295 | Chicago Fire Win (slight edge) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Chicago Fire: -0.25 (-118), Atlanta United: 25 (-102) | Chicago Fire -0.25 (slight edge) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 | Under 3 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago Fire -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chicago Fire are slight favorites at home based on recent form and historical home success. However, Atlanta United’s defensive solidity and ability to draw games makes this a challenging match to call. The most likely outcome is a close draw, possibly with both teams scoring.
Predicted Score: Chicago Fire 1-1 Atlanta United