Match Analysis: Chelsea vs Fulham – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Stamford Bridge
Game Overview
Chelsea faces Fulham in a London derby at Stamford Bridge with Chelsea as strong favorites following a dominant 5-1 win over West Ham. Fulham has been resilient but less prolific, with two draws in their opening games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chelsea showed attacking dominance and confidence after their recent 5-1 victory, while Fulham has managed to draw against strong teams but lacks clinical finishing.
- Chelsea has won 3 of the last 5 meetings, Fulham only once in December last year; Chelsea generally holds the edge at home.
- Chelsea may miss Cole Palmer, a key creative player, which could slightly blunt their attack, but JoΓ£o Pedro is expected to step up.
- Match at Chelsea's home stadium Stamford Bridge gives them a home advantage; no unusual external disruptions forecasted.
- Chelsea aiming to secure a home win after mixed results early in the season; Fulham motivated to frustrate and potentially snatch points on counterattack.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chelsea: -195, Fulham: 460, Draw: 330 | Chelsea | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Chelsea -1.5: 132, Fulham +1.5: -178 | Chelsea -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -160, Under 2.5: 120 | Over 2.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Chelsea -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Chelsea at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chelsea to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the match to go over 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-1