Match Analysis: Charlton Athletic vs Millwall – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Charlton Athletic Home Stadium
Game Overview
The upcoming EFL Championship match between Charlton Athletic and Millwall features two teams with contrasting recent forms and notable historical trends. Charlton is struggling initially this season with only 1 league win and some defensive vulnerabilities, while Millwall has been more consistent and effective both at scoring and controlling games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlton Athletic's recent league form shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceding 0.8 recently, indicating defensive issues. Millwall has 3 wins in recent games, scoring 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.6, demonstrating a balanced but slightly leaky defense.
- Millwall has dominated recent encounters, winning 9 of the last 15 matches against Charlton with Charlton managing just 1 win in that span. Historically, Charlton has struggled against Millwall in the past 20 meetings, failing to secure a win. Their encounters often have competitive scoring but Millwall has a clear edge.
- No specific injury data provided, but given current lineups and typical squad stability in early season, assume no major absences impacting key players for either side.
- Match played at Charlton's home ground, which typically provides a small home advantage. No extraordinary external conditions (weather, travel disruptions) reported.
- Both teams are early in the season and hungry for points; however, Millwall's better recent form and historical dominance provide them a psychological edge. Charlton is motivated to break their winless streak against Millwall at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlton Athletic: +139, Millwall: +205, Draw: +195 | Millwall | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | Charlton Athletic -0.25: +108, Millwall +25: -128 | Millwall +0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: +102, Under 2.25: -122 | Under 2.25 | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Millwall 37% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Millwall at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline win for Millwall
Predicted Score: 1-1