Match Analysis: Charlton Athletic vs Leicester City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-23
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: The Valley
Game Overview
Charlton Athletic hosts Leicester City in an EFL Championship matchup with Leicester slight favorites given their stronger squad and recent form, but Charlton have home advantage and motivation to gain points early in the season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Leicester City have shown stronger recent form with more consistent results and slightly better squad depth. Charlton Athletic have struggled in recent seasons but aim to capitalize on home advantage.
- Recent head-to-heads favour Leicester City with more wins, but Charlton have occasionally pulled off tight results at The Valley.
- No confirmed major injuries reported for either team close to matchday. Stephy Mavididi recently returned from strain and could be influential for Leicester.
- Neutral conditions, no major weather or external disruptions expected. The match attendance and atmosphere at The Valley could boost Charltonβs competitiveness.
- Both teams need points early in the 2025 season to build momentum. Leicester aims to consolidate a promotion push, Charlton to avoid early relegation pressure.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlton Athletic: +235, Leicester City: +115, Draw: +210 | Leicester City | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Charlton Athletic +25: -105, Leicester City -0.25: -115 | Leicester City -0.25 | β β β ββ 64% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -112, Under 2.25: -108 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Leicester City 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Leicester City to win on the moneyline, with the spread favoring Leicester to cover -0.25, and the match total to finish under 2.25 goals
Predicted Score: 0-1