Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs Toronto FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts Toronto FC in an MLS matchup where Charlotte, with a stronger win record and home advantage, faces struggling Toronto FC, who are near the bottom of the standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC currently has an 11-2-11 record, showing solid home form and a goal differential of +2; Toronto FC stands at 5-6-12 with a lower save percentage and defensive struggles.
- Recent encounters favor Charlotte FC with stronger performances and higher xG compared to Toronto FC, who have had difficulty scoring and maintaining defensive solidity.
- No significant injury reports on key starters for either team are indicated, with Charlotte expected to start Kristijan Kahlina and Toronto Sean Johnson in goal.
- Match played at Charlotteβs home stadium provides a clear home-field advantage; travel for Toronto and July heat could influence performance.
- Charlotte FC aiming to solidify mid-table standings and gain momentum, while Toronto FC looks to climb out of the lower standings, possibly pushing for a draw or defensive setup.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC -170, Toronto FC +400, Draw +350 | Charlotte FC | β β β β β 75% |
Spread | Charlotte FC -1 (-102), Toronto FC +1 (-118) | Charlotte FC -1 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 3 (-115), Under 3 (-105) | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC to win straight up (moneyline), Charlotte FC to cover -1 spread, and Over 3 goals total.
Predicted Score: 3-1 Charlotte FC