Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs Real Salt Lake – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC, USA
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts Real Salt Lake in this Major League Soccer encounter. Charlotte FC currently ranks 7th and is in contention for the Final Series, exhibiting relatively strong home form. Real Salt Lake ranks lower, around 9th-10th, and has shown inconsistency on the road. Both teams have contrasted styles, with Charlotte averaging higher goals scored but also conceding slightly more. Their recent head-to-head encounters strongly favor Real Salt Lake, who won the last meeting convincingly, though Charlotte has had some home success recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC has a better recent home record with 4 wins in their last 6 home league matches, showing offensive strength with an average of 1.69 goals scored per game but conceding 1.5 on average. Real Salt Lake has struggled away, losing 7 of 13 away matches, scoring less frequently (1.08 goals per game) but maintaining a slightly better defense conceding 1.28 goals on average. Real Salt Lake's longest unbeaten runs and clean sheets records lag behind Charlotteβs. However, RSL showed strong recent form winning three away games and has dominated previous head-to-head matches against Charlotte.
- In their latest encounter earlier in 2025, Real Salt Lake defeated Charlotte FC 3-1 away. Historically, Charlotte has never beaten Real Salt Lake in prior meetings. Head-to-head stats show Real Salt Lake averaging 3 goals per match against Charlotteβs 1 goal, indicating a tactical and psychological edge for RSL.
- No specific injury information was found in the available data for either team ahead of the match, suggesting key players may be available for both sides.
- The match is at Charlotte's home stadium, giving them home advantage supported by local fans. There are no indications of weather or other external disruptions reported, so standard conditions are expected.
- Charlotte FC is motivated to secure points to maintain or improve their playoff contention standing, having a stronger impetus at home. Real Salt Lake is aiming to prove away resilience and recover from some inconsistent away defeats, leveraging recent good form on the road. Both teams have incentives but differing pressure levels.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte FC: 104, Real Salt Lake: 234, Draw: 270 | Charlotte FC win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Charlotte FC -0.5: -101, Real Salt Lake +50: -132 | Charlotte FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -164, Under 2.5: 123 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Charlotte FC -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -13% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Charlotte FC at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Despite Real Salt Lake's positive head-to-head record and good away streak recently, Charlotteβs stronger home form and motivation for playoff positioning tilt the prediction slightly in favor of a narrow Charlotte FC win or a draw.
Predicted Score: 2-1