Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts Philadelphia Union in a key late-season MLS matchup, with both teams in strong playoff positions and Charlotte looking to secure a top-4 finish, while Philadelphia is already locked in as the #1 seed.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC is on a 5-0 winning streak, including recent shutouts in 5 of 7 home games. Philadelphia Union is 20-7-6, but may rotate squad ahead of playoffs.
- Recent meetings favor Philadelphia, but no recent H2H data is available in the search results. Charlotteβs recent form is notably stronger.
- Charlotteβs captain C. Fuchs (DEF) is out indefinitely with a groin/pelvis injury, potentially weakening a strong home defense[1].
- Home-field advantage for Charlotte is significant, especially with a playoff spot at stake. No weather or venue concerns reported.
- Charlotte is highly motivated to secure top-4 home-field advantage, while Philadelphia may rest players as the #1 seed, impacting their intensity[2].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC +147 | Draw +275 | Philadelphia Union +159 | Charlotte FC | β β β β β 72% |
Spread | Charlotte FC -0.5 +139 | Philadelphia Union +50 -189 | Charlotte FC -0.5 | β β β ββ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -179 | Under 2.5 +133 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 14% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 35% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC will extend their hot streak, edging a rotated Union side in a tight, low-scoring affair.
Predicted Score: Charlotte FC 1-0 Philadelphia Union