Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs New York City FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts New York City FC in an MLS clash where Charlotte has a slightly worse overall record but benefits from home advantage, while NYCFC has a stronger recent form and better spread performance on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC is 8-11-2 overall, with a 2-2 recent form and 3-2 ATS in last 5 games, while NYCFC stands at 9-7-4, showing more stability and better ATS road stats (4-7 ATS for Charlotte on road).
- Recent history suggests a balanced matchup but Charlotte has shown competitive resilience at home, with totals leaning towards overs in their last 9 home matches.
- No significant injury reports or impactful player absences noted for either team at this time.
- Charlotte plays at home with supportive crowd; kickoff late evening with no harsh weather conditions anticipated.
- Both teams are mid-table with playoff aspirations; Charlotte is motivated to capitalize on home advantage, NYCFC aims to maintain form and secure critical points on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 104, NYCFC 230, Draw 275 | Charlotte FC | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | Charlotte FC -0.5 (-101), NYCFC +50 (-132) | Charlotte FC -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | Over 3.5 (126), Under 3.5 (-169) | Over 3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 12% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3.5 31% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match to go over 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 3-2