Match Analysis: Charlotte FC vs CF Montreal – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC, USA
Game Overview
Charlotte FC hosts CF Montreal in an MLS clash with Charlotte strongly favored at home. Charlotte sits 3rd in the league in good recent form while CF Montreal ranks 15th and struggles on the road. The clubs have mixed head-to-head history, but recent form and home advantage heavily favor Charlotte.
Key Factors to Consider
- Charlotte FC won their last 5 matches and averages 1.6 points per match in recent meetings, with a strong defense conceding only about 0.6 goals per game. CF Montreal is winless in recent matches and has struggled away, ranking low in MLS standings.
- Across recent encounters, Charlotte FC has 2 wins, CF Montreal 4 wins, and 1 draw. Despite Montreal's superior H2H wins, Charlotte holds home advantage and superior current form.
- Charlotte FC will miss Harry Toffolo and Souleyman Doumbia due to injury. CF Montreal's Giacomo Vrioni is unavailable. Charlotte's injuries have less impact on key attacking players compared to Montreal.
- Match played at Charlotte's home stadium favors them with strong crowd support. The fixture timing is neutral with no extraordinary external disruptions.
- Charlotte FC is motivated to solidify playoff positioning with strong home form, whereas CF Montreal, struggling in the table, is under pressure but currently without momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -169, away: 390, draw: 340 | Charlotte FC | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Charlotte FC -0.5: -175, CF Montreal +50: 131 | Charlotte FC -0.5 | β β β β β 72% |
Over/under | over 3.5: 122, under 3.5: -164 | Under 3.5 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Charlotte FC 3% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Charlotte FC to win outright on the moneyline
Predicted Score: 2-0