Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo
Game Overview
The MLS matchup between CF Montreal and St. Louis City SC features two similarly performing teams with close recent form and competitive stats. Montreal is slight favorite at home with a modest edge in goals scored and defensive metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have nearly identical form, with Montreal at a 29% win rate and St. Louis at 31%. Montreal has a marginally better goal difference (-16 vs -13) but concedes slightly more on average per game (1.89 goals).
- No significant H2H sample was provided, indicating either few past meetings or balanced results with no clear dominance.
- No notable injuries reported that would significantly weaken either starting lineup or key contributors.
- Playing at Stade Saputo gives Montreal home advantage including familiar turf and local support. Weather or other external disruptions are not mentioned.
- Both teams are motivated to improve standings late in the MLS season, but Montreal may have a slight edge given home venue and historical home competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | 131 | CF Montreal | β β β ββ 62% |
Spread | 124 | CF Montreal -0.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
Over/under | -161 | Under 3.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal 20% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: CF Montreal at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
CF Montreal moneyline
Predicted Score: 2-1