Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal, QC
Game Overview
CF Montreal hosts New York Red Bulls in an MLS matchup where the Red Bulls are slightly favored on the moneyline despite Montreal's home advantage. Both teams have moderate recent form with a history of tight matches and balanced scoring.
Key Factors to Consider
- CF Montreal has struggled defensively this season with 53 goals conceded and a goal differential of -24, while New York Red Bulls show slightly better offensive output (1.59 goals per game) and a tighter defense. Montreal's lower points per game (0.80) vs Red Bulls' steadier form is notable.
- Recent meetings have been close including two 2-2 draws over the last year and a narrow 2-1 Red Bulls win. Results suggest a competitive matchup with no dominance by either side.
- No significant injury news from the sources; starting goalkeepers Jonathan Sirois (Montreal) and Carlos Coronel (Red Bulls) expected to play.
- Match played at Montrealsβ Stade Saputo, which may offer home advantage. Weather or other conditions not indicated as impactful.
- Red Bulls are motivated to secure points away to strengthen their playoff positioning. Montreal, struggling in the table, will push to gain home points but with less momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal: 190, New York Red Bulls: 130, Draw: 255 | New York Red Bulls | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | CF Montreal +50: -167, New York Red Bulls -0.5: 125 | New York Red Bulls -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -139, Under 2.5: 105 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | New York Red Bulls 24% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: New York Red Bulls at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Red Bulls moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2