Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-25
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Canada
Game Overview
This MLS match features CF Montreal hosting FC Cincinnati. CF Montreal currently ranks 15th in the league, while FC Cincinnati holds a strong 2nd place position. The two teams have a competitive recent history, with Cincinnati holding a slight edge in wins, but Montreal has had some success at home. The match is expected to be closely contested with moderate goal-scoring potential.
Key Factors to Consider
- CF Montreal has won 2, drawn 1, and lost 2 of their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and conceding 2.2 per game. FC Cincinnati has a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.0 on average. Cincinnati is in better overall MLS standing, indicating stronger season performance.
- Historically, the teams have met 12 times since 2019: Montreal won 4, Cincinnati 5, and 3 ended in draws. Recent matches suggest a balanced rivalry with Cincinnati slightly more successful overall. Over 83% of their matches have seen over 2.5 total goals, pointing to attacking games. Both sides show moderate success with Asian handicap bets at 40% each.
- No specific injury data available from the provided sources; no major injury news reported for either side, indicating both teams likely to field strong lineups.
- Home advantage favors CF Montreal playing at Saputo Stadium. No other major external conditions reported. Match timing at late evening UTC may have limited impact.
- FC Cincinnati’s high league position suggests strong motivation to maintain or improve their standing. CF Montreal, lower in rankings, will be motivated to improve their season and capitalize on home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal: 200, FC Cincinnati: 125, Draw: 260 | FC Cincinnati win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | CF Montreal +25: -118, FC Cincinnati -0.25: -102 | FC Cincinnati -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.75: 100, Under 2.75: -120 | Over 2.75 goals | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 13% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.75 30% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The match is expected to be tight with a slight edge to FC Cincinnati considering their stronger league form and historical slight dominance. A draw or narrow Cincinnati win is most probable.
Predicted Score: 1-2