Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-14
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Canada
Game Overview
CF Montréal, currently 15th in the MLS standings with a poor start (0-2-4, 2 PTS), hosts the high-flying Columbus Crew SC, sitting 2nd/3rd (3-3-0, 12 PTS). Columbus boasts a significantly stronger attack and defense, with 18 goals scored to Montréal’s 5, and a tighter backline allowing only 10 goals vs. Montréal’s 16. This is shaping up to be a clash between a struggling home side and a top-tier away team on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Crew SC is in top form, ranking near the top of the league with a robust offense (18 GF) and a solid defense (10 GA). CF Montréal, on the other hand, is among the league’s weakest, with just 5 goals scored and 16 conceded. Columbus has also managed more shots on goal (50 vs. 34 for Montréal) and more clean sheets (3 vs. 2).
- There is limited recent head-to-head data for the 2025 season, but Columbus has historically held an edge in quality and results over the last few seasons. Montréal and Crew have met once this season, but the result is not specified in available data.
- No major injury reports available for either team. Lineups not fully disclosed as of now.
- Match is at Saputo Stadium in Montreal. Weather is expected to be mild (around 66°F), with low chance of weather-related disruptions. No major external factors reported.
- Columbus Crew SC is motivated to maintain their position near the top of the table, while CF Montréal is desperate for points to climb out of the lower ranks.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal: 215, Columbus Crew SC: 120, Draw: 260 | Columbus Crew SC | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Spread | CF Montreal: 25 -110, Columbus Crew SC: -0.25 -110 | Columbus Crew SC -0.25 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 -118, Under: 2.5 -102 | Over 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Columbus Crew SC at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew SC is favored to win based on superior team form, attacking output, and defensive solidity. CF Montréal’s struggles at home and poor offensive output make it hard to see an upset.
Predicted Score: 1-3