Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Saputo, Montreal, QC
Game Overview
CF Montreal hosts Atlanta United in an MLS matchup with both teams struggling for consistency this season. Montreal ranks 25th in MLS with poor defensive stats, while Atlanta also has inconsistent form but a slightly stronger attack.
Key Factors to Consider
- CF Montreal holds a 4-6-15 record, scoring 23 and conceding 46 goals with a goal differential of -23. Atlanta United is 4-9-11 with 31 points but slightly better recent form and scoring average at 1.38 goals/game. Montreal has a weak defense conceding 1.84 goals per 90 and only 4 clean sheets.
- Recent matchups between these teams have been competitive but generally low scoring. CF Montreal has shown slight edge at home but Atlanta's away performance against the spread is strong (8-3-0).
- No significant injury reports impacting starting lineups for either side were found in recent data.
- The game is played at Montreal's home ground, Stade Saputo, but motivation and team morale appear balanced as both teams aim to improve standings in the league.
- Montreal, struggling near the bottom of the standings, shows motivation to secure points at home. Atlanta, mid-table, also motivated to avoid losing ground in playoff contention.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: 129, draw: 260, away: 189 | CF Montreal | β β β ββ 67% |
Spread | CF Montreal: 123, Atlanta United: -164, spread_line: 50 | CF Montreal -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | over_2.5: -167, under_2.5: 126 | Under 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | CF Montreal 15% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 47% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
CF Montreal moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-0