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CF Estrela vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-25
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes

Game Overview

CF Estrela hosts Alverca in a crucial early-season Primeira Liga clash where both teams seek their first win. Estrela Amadora has a slight edge as the home favorite, while Alverca struggles at the bottom of the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora is 13th with 1 point, showing defensive solidity but limited scoring, while Alverca languishes in last place without points, conceding more goals and struggling offensively.
  • Historically even with 8 top-flight meetings; Estrela holds a slight edge with 4 wins and 4 clean sheets, though Alverca won the last 4 encounters. No recent meetings since 2004.
  • Estrela will miss Jovane Cabral, Guilherme Montóia, and Robinho due to injury; Alverca's injury status is less prominent but team form is weaker.
  • Game at Estrela's home stadium Estádio José Gomes favors the hosts. Both teams face high pressure early in the season and need points.
  • Estrela aims to avoid relegation again by securing early points, motivated by recent decent defensive showings. Alverca, bottom of the table, is desperate to avoid early season slump perpetuation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela: -112, Alverca: 320, Draw: 235 CF Estrela ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread CF Estrela -0.5 -110, Alverca +50 -110 CF Estrela -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CF Estrela 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

CF Estrela to win (Moneyline), CF Estrela -0.5 (Spread), Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. Alverca Prediction

Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Alverca – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-25 Time: 7:15 PM UTC Location: Estádio José Gomes Game Overview CF Estrela hosts Alverca in a crucial early-season Primeira Liga clash where both teams seek their first win. Estrela Amadora has a slight edge as the home favorite, while Alverca struggles at the […]

Alverca August 25, 2025 CF Estrela Soccer

MORE FROM PRIMEIRA-LIGA

Braga vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Braga Municipal, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

Braga is a strong favorite hosting AVS Futebol SAD in a Primeira Liga matchup, with Braga unbeaten in 20 of their last 24 league games and AVS struggling significantly with losses in 5 of their last 6 matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga is in excellent recent form with heavy dominance and a record of 2 wins from 2 played against AVS this season, while AVS has shown poor form, failing to win any of their last 25 league matches and losing most recently.
  • Braga won previous encounters convincingly, including a recent 4-1 victory showing clear superiority in quality and execution.
  • No significant injury updates are reported that would impact Braga's core squad; AVS injury data is limited but no key players reported missing.
  • The match takes place at Braga's home ground, a stronghold where they tend to perform well, adding home advantage and supporter influence.
  • Braga aims to consolidate their high league standing and momentum early in the season, whereas AVS is under pressure to improve results but lacking form and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -320, Draw: +415, AVS Futebol SAD: +825 Braga ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Braga -1.5: -105, AVS Futebol SAD +1.5: -115 Braga -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Braga to win; Spread: Braga -1.5; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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FC Porto vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto faces Casa Pia at home in the Portugal Primeira Liga, with Porto strongly favored given their historical dominance and current form in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto ranks 3rd in the league, maintaining a solid recent form with 5 goals in the last 5 matches and multiple clean sheets. Casa Pia sits 7th with a weaker scoring record, averaging 1 goal per match recently.
  • Porto remains unbeaten against Casa Pia in their last 7 meetings (6 wins, 1 draw), reflecting clear superiority in past encounters.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side leading into this match.
  • Match at Estádio do Dragão gives Porto home advantage with strong support and familiarity.
  • Porto is motivated to consolidate their UEFA Europa League contention spot, whereas Casa Pia aims to improve mid-table standing but faces a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: +1200, FC Porto: -485, Draw: +525 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Casa Pia +1.75: -105, FC Porto -1.75: -115 FC Porto -1.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: +105 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.75 goal spread, with total goals expected under 2.75.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Estoril vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estoril Home Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Santa Clara in their third Primeira Liga match of the season, both teams having underwhelming starts with limited points and negative goal differences. Santa Clara is slightly favored by the bookmakers despite their worse league standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril sits 12th with 1 point from two matches (0W,1D,1L) and -1 goal difference. Santa Clara sits 17th with 0 points from two losses and -4 goal difference. Both teams have struggled to score and defend but Santa Clara has not collected any points.
  • Recent historical odds and form suggest Santa Clara has a stronger chance of winning this encounter. No detailed H2H historical stats available, but bookmaker implied probabilities favor Santa Clara.
  • No specific injury information available in the data provided, suggesting no major absences affecting either side.
  • The match is at Estoril’s home ground, which should provide them some advantage. No unusual external conditions reported.
  • Santa Clara likely more motivated to avoid prolonged league bottom placement, currently winless with zero points. Estoril has a slight morale advantage from their solitary point but overall under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +165, draw: +200, away: +175 Away ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Estoril -1: -110, Santa Clara +1: +100 Santa Clara +1 ★★★☆☆ 59%
Over/under over_2.5: -140, under_2.5: +110 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Santa Clara at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win on the moneyline, with a spread advantage on the away side, and a moderately high chance for over 2.5 goals scored in the match.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Famalicão vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Game Overview

Famalicão hosts Gil Vicente in a Liga Portugal match. Famalicão has shown strong form at home, while Gil Vicente struggles on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a recent win rate advantage and strong home performance.
  • Historical data suggests familiarity and competitiveness between the teams.
  • No significant injury reports available to impact the match outcome.
  • Home advantage could be crucial for Famalicão.
  • Famalicão aims to continue its winning streak, while Gil Vicente seeks to improve its away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: +117, Gil Vicente: +265, Draw: +200 Famalicão ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Famalicão: -0.25 (-118), Gil Vicente: 25 (-102) Famalicão ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 2 (-115), under: 2 (-105) Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão is favored to win based on recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Famalicão


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Benfica vs. Tondela Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Benfica vs Tondela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio da Luz

Game Overview

Benfica hosts Tondela in a Portugal Primeira Liga match. Benfica have historically dominated this matchup, with a strong recent form, and significant home advantage. Tondela struggles notably against Benfica and currently sits near the bottom of the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Benfica won 12 of the last 14 meetings with Tondela, scoring on average 2.5 goals per match and conceding only 0.57. They also have a strong start this season while Tondela has lost both their opening matches and is 17th in the table.
  • Out of 14 encounters, Benfica have 12 wins and 1 draw versus only 1 Tondela win. Benfica scored 35 goals against Tondela’s 8 across these matches, showing dominance especially at home.
  • No major injury concerns announced for Benfica. Tondela’s key players have some minor fitness issues but no confirmed absences, yielding slightly weakened squad depth and quality.
  • The match is at Benfica's home stadium, Estádio da Luz, offering a significant home ground advantage. Weather and travel impact are minimal.
  • Benfica, currently mid-table, are motivated to push for European qualification spots and maintain home dominance. Tondela faces pressure from relegation zone proximity, but morale may be low after recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline benfica: -725, tondela: +1500, draw: +700 Benfica ★★★★☆ 87%
Spread benfica_-2: -122, tondela_+2: +102 Benfica -2 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over_3: -118, under_3: -102 Over 3 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Benfica -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Benfica to Win

Predicted Score: 3-0


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Arouca vs. Rio Ave FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Arouca vs Rio Ave FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca, Portugal

Game Overview

This Liga Portugal match features Arouca hosting Rio Ave FC. Recent trends show Rio Ave is undefeated in 12 of their last 13 matches against Arouca, indicating strong recent performance despite Arouca's slight historical edge in total wins. The teams have closely matched head-to-head statistics with balanced scoring rates.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arouca's last 5 matches: 3 wins, 2 draws, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 0.8 on average. Rio Ave's last 5 matches: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.8 goals per match, showing a more offensive but slightly vulnerable defense.
  • Across 20 past meetings, Arouca has 7 wins and Rio Ave 8, with 5 draws. Recent seasons favor Rio Ave, who are undefeated in 12 of their last 13 clashes, suggesting momentum advantage.
  • Available data does not specify impactful injuries for either team, indicating likely full-strength squads.
  • Match played at home grounds of Arouca may provide some home advantage but recent head-to-head suggests Rio Ave handles this well. No significant external disruptions reported.
  • Rio Ave currently has stronger motivation to maintain their unbeaten streak against Arouca and improve their upper mid-table position, while Arouca aims to capitalize on home advantage to start the season strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arouca: +100, Rio_Ave_FC: +270, Draw: +240 Arouca ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Arouca_-0.5: +102, Rio_Ave_+50: -122 Arouca -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over_2.5: +105, Under_2.5: -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arouca -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Arouca to win. Spread: Arouca -0.5. Over/Under: Under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Nacional vs. Sporting Lisbon Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Nacional vs Sporting Lisbon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal

Game Overview

Sporting Lisbon currently top the Primeira Liga table with perfect form, having won their opening two matches with a dominant goal difference of 8-0. Nacional are struggling near the bottom with only one point from two games and have yet to secure a win this season. Historically, Sporting have a strong record against Nacional, winning 90% of recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have shown impressive offensive and defensive form, scoring 8 goals and conceding none in the first two matches. Nacional have struggled offensively and defensively, scoring only one goal while conceding three.
  • Sporting Lisbon have a dominant recent record over Nacional, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter and multiple wins in their last ten meetings.
  • Nacional have significant absences, including Brazilian forward Isaac and defender Miguel Baeza, potentially weakening their attack and defense. Sporting Lisbon reportedly have no major injury concerns affecting their starting lineup.
  • The match takes place at Estadio da Madeira, home to Nacional, but their poor recent home form and Sporting’s superior overall quality and momentum mitigate home advantage.
  • Sporting Lisbon are motivated to maintain their perfect start and reinforce their status as title contenders, while Nacional fight to find their first win and improve morale.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nacional: 875, Sporting Lisbon: -385, Draw: 500 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Nacional +1.75: -122, Sporting Lisbon -1.75: 102 Sporting Lisbon -1.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 3: -120, Under 3: 100 Over 3 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win outright (Moneyline), with a spread cover of -1.75 goals and over 3 total goals scored

Predicted Score: 0-3


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Moreirense FC vs. Vitória SC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Moreirense FC vs Vitória SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos, Portugal

Game Overview

Moreirense FC, currently 5th in the Primeira Liga, hosts Vitória SC who sit 9th. Both teams have demonstrated similar average goals scored (~1.5) but differ defensively with Moreirense allowing fewer goals on average (0.5) than Vitória SC (2.5). Historically, Vitória SC holds a stronger head-to-head record, though Moreirense has been more consistent recently.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Moreirense have a stronger defensive record and a slightly better current form with longer unbeaten and winning runs. Vitória SC has been less consistent and concedes more goals.
  • Vitória SC leads H2H with more wins (18 to 5) but Moreirense has won 4 of their past 25 meetings. Recent encounters suggest balanced competitiveness with a slight Vitória edge.
  • No specific injury information provided for either side; assume full-strength squads.
  • Match played at Moreirense’s home ground provides a home advantage. No other external disruptions noted.
  • Moreirense higher league standing (5th) likely motivates them to secure points and maintain position. Vitória SC mid-table placement offers moderate motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Moreirense FC: 240, Vitória SC: 121, Draw: 215 Moreirense FC ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Moreirense FC: -108, Vitória SC: -112 Moreirense FC -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Moreirense FC 63%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Moreirense FC at 63% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Moreirense FC to win; Spread: Moreirense FC -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Gil Vicente vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-18
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Gil Vicente Home Stadium

Game Overview

Gil Vicente hosts FC Porto in a Primeira Liga clash where historically Porto dominates but recent results show some competitive balance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has shown resilience at home with a recent notable 3-1 win over Porto earlier this year; Porto has mixed recent form with some draws and losses and scored about 1.2 goals per recent match.
  • Out of 28 meetings, Porto has won 21, Gil Vicente 4, with 3 draws. However, Gil Vicente won the latest home match 3-1 and the teams have traded wins recently, showing some recent H2H volatility.
  • No specific injury reports available; assume no major absences affecting starting lineups significantly.
  • No weather or other external disruptions noted; Gil Vicente's home advantage is notable.
  • Porto likely motivated to assert dominance after recent mixed results and Gil Vicente will seek to leverage home momentum and recent psychological edge from their last home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gil Vicente: 500, Draw: 355, FC Porto: -214 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread FC Porto -1: -125, Gil Vicente +1: 105 Gil Vicente +1 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline but potentially by a narrow margin on the spread; total goals slightly leaning toward under 2.5 based on teams' recent scoring and defensive patterns.

Predicted Score: Gil Vicente 1 – 2 FC Porto


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