Match Analysis: Ceará vs Juventude – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-30
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Ceará Home Stadium
Game Overview
Ceará hosts Juventude in a Brazil Campeonato Serie A match where Ceará is favored due to stronger recent form and historical home advantage, despite Juventude winning the last head-to-head meeting.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ceará has a moderately better recent form with 6 wins in their last 16 matches, compared to Juventude's 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses in the same period.
- In recent encounters, Juventude leads with 5 wins to Ceará's 3 and 1 draw, including a 2-1 win in their last meeting in April 2025.
- No major injuries reported for either team that strongly impact the starting lineup, maintaining stable squad availability.
- Match played at Ceará’s home venue, giving them the typical advantages of familiar pitch and local support.
- Ceará appears more motivated to climb the league table aiming to secure better standings, while Juventude’s poor form reduces their momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará -172, Juventude +475, Draw +280 | Ceará | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | Ceará -0.75 -130, Juventude +75 +110 | Ceará -0.75 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ceará -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ceará to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, with a tight game under 2.25 goals scored.
Predicted Score: 1-0