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Ceará vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ceará home stadium (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A clash features home side Ceará hosting Bahia in a tightly contested matchup. Both teams have shown mixed recent form with Bahia historically holding a slight upper edge in recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia leads slightly in recent head-to-head and overall quality but Ceará has home advantage and is motivated to improve on recent results, including a home victory over Vasco da Gama and a solid draw against Red Bull Bragantino. Both teams have fluctuated in form.
  • Recent H2H shows Bahia with a marginal edge: last meeting ended in a narrow Bahia 1-0 win. Past probabilities from predictive models show Bahia favored at ~45% win chance, draw ~25%, and Ceará ~30%.
  • No specific injury info provided for key players in either team, suggesting relatively full-strength squads for this fixture.
  • Match played at Ceará’s home venue, providing them a supportive environment. Weather and pitch conditions unknown but not noted as problematic.
  • Mid-season motivations for both sides to accumulate points are high to maintain or improve league standing. Home pressure will motivate Ceará to avoid defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 193, Ceará: 157, Draw: 200 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 56%
Spread Bahia 0: 105, Ceará 0: -125 Ceará 0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia moneyline win; Ceará +0 spread; Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: Bahia 1 – 0 Ceará


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Ceará vs. Bahia Prediction

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bahia – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-09-20 Time: 9:30 PM UTC Location: Ceará home stadium (exact venue not specified) Game Overview This Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A clash features home side Ceará hosting Bahia in a tightly contested matchup. Both teams have shown mixed recent form with Bahia historically holding a slight […]

Bahia Ceará September 20, 2025 Soccer

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Palmeiras vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras, the league leaders with dominant home form, face struggling Juventude near the relegation zone, presenting a clear mismatch in quality and motivation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras show excellent recent form with 4 wins in last 5 games and strong home stats (5 consecutive home wins, scoring 2.54 goals/game, conceding 0.69). Juventude are in poor form with 6 wins overall in 26 matches, low points tally, and negative goal difference.
  • Palmeiras hold a strong advantage historically with a superior league table position (+21 GD vs -27 GD) and higher win ratio.
  • No significant key injuries reported for Palmeiras; Juventude squad condition less favorable but specifics unknown.
  • Match at Allianz Parque benefits Palmeiras with home crowd support and familiar conditions; weather forecast stable mild temperature.
  • Palmeiras motivated to maintain top spot and push for title; Juventude likely under pressure trying to avoid relegation but overall quality gap is large.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -450, Draw +475, Juventude +1200 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Palmeiras -1.75 -105, Juventude +1.75 -115 Palmeiras -1.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.5 -122, Under 2.5 +102 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win straight up and cover the spread comfortably; match expected to produce more than 2.5 goals given Palmeiras' attacking efficiency.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Mirassol vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-09
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol home)

Game Overview

Mirassol hosts Fluminense in a close Brazilian Serie A clash where both teams have shown balanced recent form with Mirassol slightly ahead in the standings. Mirassol benefits from home advantage but is missing key defensive players due to suspension and injury. Fluminense arrives with some injuries and international duties but holds better recent away form and slightly better defensive stability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has 43 points with 11 wins, showing 1.2 goals scored but also concedes around 1.6 goals per game. Fluminense has 38 points with 11 wins but only 5 draws and 9 losses, averaging similar goal scoring but better defense.
  • Historically a close matchup with Mirassol having won 3 of last 5 encounters with 1 draw and no losses, but overall recent matches have been tight and low scoring.
  • Mirassol is missing Jose Aldo and Lucas Ramon (suspensions), Edson Carioca and Matheus Sales (injuries), which weakens their defense. Fluminense is missing Kevin Serna (international duty), Ganso and Nonato due to injury reducing midfield creativity.
  • Fluminense's key forward Everaldo leads their shots on target, indicating attacking threat. Mirassol’s home stadium atmosphere and lineup stability gives a slight edge.
  • Mirassol needs points more urgently to solidify their position, while Fluminense looks to improve consistency to climb the table. Both teams motivated but Mirassol slightly more due to home crowd and current form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol: 138, Fluminense: 220, Draw: 200 Mirassol ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mirassol -0.25: 105, Fluminense +25: -125 Mirassol -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 36%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 29%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Mirassol win; Spread: Mirassol -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Atletico Mineiro vs. Sport Recife Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Atletico Mineiro vs Sport Recife – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena MRV

Game Overview

Atletico Mineiro hosts Sport Recife in a Série A match, with Atletico Mineiro favored due to their stronger recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atletico Mineiro is undefeated in their last four matches at home, while Sport Recife has struggled, winning just once in their last eight games.
  • Atletico Mineiro has a positive head-to-head record against Sport Recife, especially in recent matches.
  • No significant injury updates impacting the lineups.
  • Home advantage and fan support should favor Atletico Mineiro.
  • Atletico Mineiro is motivated to bounce back from their recent loss and maintain a strong league position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -164 (Atletico Mineiro), 475 (Sport Recife), 265 (Draw) Atletico Mineiro Win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread -0.75 -122 (Atletico Mineiro), 75 102 (Sport Recife) Atletico Mineiro -0.75 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 2.25 -112, Under 2.25 -108 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atletico Mineiro 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atletico Mineiro at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atletico Mineiro will have a strong home win against Sport Recife, with a low number of goals scored.

Predicted Score: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sport Recife


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Internacional vs. Botafogo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Internacional vs Botafogo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre

Game Overview

A mid-table clash in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A between home side Internacional, currently 15th with 28 points from 24 games, and Botafogo, sitting 5th with 40 points from 25 games. Botafogo has shown stronger recent form and higher table position, while Internacional is fighting to avoid relegation zones.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Botafogo holds better form and points accumulation in the 2025 season, indicating greater consistency and squad strength. Internacional has struggled away and in recent matches.
  • Last recorded match ended with Botafogo dominating 4-0 at home, showing psychological and tactical edge. Historically, Botafogo have gained favorable results against Internacional in recent encounters.
  • No major injuries reported for either squad affecting key starters, suggesting both teams are near full strength.
  • Home advantage for Internacional could provide boost, but Botafogo has demonstrated ability to win on the road this season. Weather and pitch conditions are neutral.
  • Internacional is motivated to secure points to climb away from relegation fight; Botafogo aims to solidify top 5 position and pursue continental qualification which likely enhances their confidence and drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Internacional: 139, Botafogo: 200, Draw: 220 Internacional ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Internacional -0.25: 108, Botafogo +25: -128 Internacional -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Internacional 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Internacional at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Internacional win; Spread: Internacional -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fluminense vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã)

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Atletico Mineiro in a mid-table Brasileirão clash where Fluminense have the slight edge in form and home advantage, but Atletico Mineiro possess historical H2H strength and resilience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense is currently 7th with 35 points from 24 matches, showing moderate form with 10 wins and 5 draws; Atletico Mineiro is 14th with 29 points, less consistent with 7 wins but 8 draws.
  • Historically Atletico Mineiro leads H2H with 19 wins to Fluminense's 12 in 45 matches, but recent encounters are closer; Fluminense won last season's home match and the recent matchup ended 2-2.
  • No major absentee information available; squads expected mostly full strength.
  • Match played at Maracanã offers Fluminense solid home support; both teams have comparable travel and environmental conditions.
  • Fluminense motivated to push for top 6 placement, Atletico Mineiro aiming to avoid relegation zone troubles and improve standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense -101, Draw +215, Atletico Mineiro +333 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Fluminense -0.5 -101, Atletico Mineiro +50 -119 Fluminense -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -109, Under 2 -111 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Bragantino-SP vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP hosts Grêmio in a key Brazilian Serie A clash. Bragantino is slight favorite due to home advantage and better recent form, while Grêmio has struggled on the road but remains dangerous on counterattack.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has shown decent recent form scoring 1-2 goals per match and conceding slightly. Grêmio has been inconsistent away and less prolific offensively in recent games.
  • Recent H2H have been tight, with draws common and marginal advantage to Bragantino at home. Last few meetings ended mostly 1-1 draws or low scoring matches.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side, both teams have near full squads available.
  • Home crowd support favors Bragantino. Weather forecast is mild with no adverse conditions expected.
  • Bragantino fights for top half placement, currently pushing to stabilize league position; Grêmio aims to avoid relegation zone pressure, adding defensive caution.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 105 Bragantino-SP ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -0.25 -128 Bragantino-SP -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under 2.25 -122 (Over), 2.25 102 (Under) Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bragantino-SP 9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bragantino moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Flamengo vs. Cruzeiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Cruzeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro

Game Overview

The Brasileirão Serie A Round 26 clash features Flamengo hosting Cruzeiro. Flamengo come into the match with strong recent form and home advantage, while Cruzeiro has a respectable away record but faces key injury concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo have won 4 and drawn 2 of their last 6 matches with 7 goals scored in their last 5 games. They are ranked 3rd away but stronger at home. Cruzeiro's away form is moderate with 5 wins and 4 losses, having lost the recent H2H 2-1 at home against Flamengo.
  • Historically, Flamengo lead with 16 wins to Cruzeiro's 9, and 6 draws. The recent encounter was a 2-1 win for Cruzeiro, but Flamengo have generally been dominant.
  • Flamengo miss Erick Pulgar, Leo Pereira, Matias Vina, and Michael due to injury. Cruzeiro are missing Fagner and Luis Sinisterra.
  • Flamengo enjoy home advantage at Maracanã, a stadium where they have been strong this season. Both teams face pressure to secure points, with Flamengo more motivated to maintain their upper-table position.
  • Flamengo, currently higher in the standings, have greater incentive to secure all points to continue title hopes. Cruzeiro, while motivated, are underdogs and might play cautiously.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Flamengo: -172, Cruzeiro: 500, Draw: 280 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Flamengo -1: 108, Cruzeiro +1: -128 Flamengo -1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win (moneyline), Flamengo -1 spread, Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Fortaleza vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Fortaleza vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Castelão, Fortaleza

Game Overview

Mid-table São Paulo travels to relegation-threatened Fortaleza in a Brasileirão Serie A clash with strong implications for both teams. Fortaleza is fighting for survival, while São Paulo seeks to consolidate a top-half position. Recent form favors São Paulo, but historical H2H and home-stand advantage suggest tight margins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo sits 7th with 9 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses from their 24 games, while Fortaleza is 19th with just 5 wins, 6 draws, and 13 losses from the same number of matches[1]. In their last 7 league meetings, Fortaleza has shown surprising resilience, winning 3, drawing 2, and losing just 2 (one by a single goal)[2]. Both teams are inconsistent, but Fortaleza’s poor league form places the pressure on them as hosts.
  • The recent H2H record is remarkably even and unpredictable: in the last 5 league encounters, Fortaleza won 3, São Paulo just 1, and 1 draw[2]. This trend of upsetting the odds at home gives Fortaleza a psychological edge.
  • No specific injury or suspension news is available, which is a critical factor for both teams’ motivation and tactical flexibility.
  • The match is being played in Fortaleza’s home stadium, historically a fortress, adding to the underdog’s potential to perform above form.
  • Fortaleza is fighting relegation, amplifying the urgency, while São Paulo’s motivation is higher-table consolidation. The drop-zone pressure could make Fortaleza’s squad over-perform, especially at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fortaleza: +165 | Sao Paulo: +180 | Draw: +200 Fortaleza ML ★★★☆☆ 59%
Spread Fortaleza 0 (-118), Sao Paulo 0 (-102) Fortaleza PK ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 (-128), Under 2 (+108) Under 2.5 Goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 32%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tense, low-scoring match favoring the home underdog, with Fortaleza’s desperation and H2H history as key differentiators in a league where motivation often trumps form. Clear expected value in backing Fortaleza double chance (1X) or outright, on a draw or scrappy home win, rather than betting the spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Fortaleza


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Vitoria vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitoria vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-02
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Manoel Barradas

Game Overview

This Brazil Serie A clash features Vitória hosting Ceará, with the home side struggling in the league and Ceará showing slightly better recent form. The game is poised to be competitive with both teams fighting for crucial points in the mid-lower table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará's recent form is moderate with a sequence of draws and losses (D-D-L-D-W-L), while Vitória has a weaker record (L-L-W-L-D-L) and sit lower in the league standings. Vitória’s home form is poor, but Ceará's away form is also inconsistent.
  • Recent H2H data shows fairly balanced encounters with Ceará slightly favored due to better league standing and historical performance in this matchup; no recent dominant trend for either side.
  • No explicit current injury reports are available indicating major absences for either side, suggesting both teams likely field near full-strength lineups.
  • Match played at Vitória's home ground, Estadio Manoel Barradas, but Vitória have underperformed at home this season. Ceará traveling may affect stamina but motivation is steady.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points to avoid relegation dangers. Ceará’s slightly better form and league position provide higher motivation to push for away victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitoria: 145, Draw: 200, Ceara: 210 Vitoria ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Vitoria -0.25: 110, Ceara +25: -130 Vitoria -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -108, Under 2: -112 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitoria 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Vitoria at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vitória win; Spread: Vitória -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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