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Casa Pia vs. Nacional Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Nacional – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Casa Pia Stadium

Game Overview

Casa Pia hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga match at a home stadium where Casa Pia seeks to build on early season form, while Nacional struggles near the bottom with limited points and poor offensive output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Casa Pia has a slightly better early season form with 3 points in 3 matches, showing inconsistency but home advantage, while Nacional is in 16th place with just 1 point and conceding many goals.
  • Historically, Casa Pia has a slight edge in wins over Nacional, with more recent home success.
  • No major injury reports available for either side; squads expected near full strength.
  • Match played at Casa Pia's home ground, giving them an advantage; early season motivation to gain points is high for both teams but more urgent for struggling Nacional.
  • Casa Pia motivated to consolidate mid-table positioning; Nacional under pressure to escape relegation zone, increasing their urgency but possibly affecting composure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia +126, Nacional +235, Draw +210 Casa Pia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Casa Pia -0.25 (-108), Nacional +25 (-112) Casa Pia -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 (102), Under 2.25 (-122) Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Casa Pia 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Casa Pia to win on the moneyline, with an expectation of a low-scoring game trending under 2.25 goals, and Casa Pia to cover the -0.25 spread.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Casa Pia vs. Nacional Prediction

Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Nacional – Prediction Match Details Date: 2025-08-30 Time: 2:30 PM UTC Location: Casa Pia Stadium Game Overview Casa Pia hosts Nacional in a crucial Primeira Liga match at a home stadium where Casa Pia seeks to build on early season form, while Nacional struggles near the bottom with limited points […]

August 30, 2025 Casa Pia Nacional Soccer

MORE FROM PRIMEIRA-LIGA

Sporting Lisbon vs. FC Porto Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Sporting Lisbon vs FC Porto – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Alvalade

Game Overview

This Portugal Primeira Liga clash features Sporting Lisbon hosting FC Porto in a highly competitive fixture with both teams demonstrating strong defensive records and consistent recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sporting Lisbon have scored in 20 consecutive Liga NOS matches and maintained a solid defense, conceding 1 or less in their last 12 outings; FC Porto have kept clean sheets in their last four league games and also boast a strong offensive performance.
  • The last three meetings at this venue finished with under 2.5 goals and closely contested matches; recent H2H trends favor low-scoring, tight games.
  • No major injury concerns noted for either team; both lineups appear near full strength.
  • The match is played at Sporting's home ground in Lisbon, giving them slight home advantage; no unusual external factors impact performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to establish early dominance in the league, adding competitive edge without clear favoritism beyond home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon: 108, FC Porto: 235, Draw: 250 Sporting Lisbon ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sporting Lisbon: -122, FC Porto: 102 Sporting Lisbon -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sporting Lisbon 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sporting Lisbon to win on the moneyline, Sporting Lisbon -0.25 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals in the over/under market.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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AVS Futebol SAD vs. Famalicão Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: AVS Futebol SAD vs Famalicão – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio do CD das Aves, Vila das Aves, Portugal

Game Overview

Famalicão enters this match as clear favorites against AVS Futebol SAD, who have struggled early this season. Famalicão leads the Primeira Liga standings with seven points from three games, unbeaten and displaying solid form. AVS sits near the bottom with just one point and negative goal difference.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a strong start to the season with 2 wins and 1 draw, scoring multiple goals and conceding few. AVS has recorded 2 losses and 1 draw, with a poor goal differential of -4.
  • Recent form and standings heavily favor Famalicão. Historical direct match data is limited, but current season performance strongly advantage Famalicão.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either side that would materially impact starting lineups.
  • Match at AVS home ground could provide slight home advantage, but Famalicão’s form likely outweighs this factor.
  • Famalicão looks motivated to consolidate their early strong position in the league and extend unbeaten run, while AVS is under pressure to gain points to avoid an early relegation battle.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão -109, AVS Futebol SAD +315, Draw +230 Famalicão ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread AVS +50 -112, Famalicão -0.5 -108 Famalicão -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 +100, Under 2.25 -120 Over 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.25 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Famalicão moneyline to win, with a moderately confident spread bet on them covering the -0.5 goals handicap, and expect over 2.25 goals given Famalicão’s strong attacking form.

Predicted Score: Famalicão 2 – 1 AVS Futebol SAD


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Vitória SC vs. Arouca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Vitória SC vs Arouca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes, Portugal

Game Overview

Vitória SC and Arouca are closely matched around mid-table in Portugal's Primeira Liga, with Vitória SC currently 9th and Arouca 8th. Both teams show similar recent form with moderate scoring but defensive vulnerabilities, making this a competitive fixture at Vitória's home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vitória SC recently scored 11 goals in 5 matches but haven't kept a clean sheet in 5 games, conceding 2.33 goals on average. Arouca scored 2 goals per game but concede more heavily at 3.33 goals on average. Vitória SC has slightly better recent results and home advantage.
  • Historically, Vitória SC leads with 10 wins to Arouca's 4 in 20 encounters; recent matches suggest a balanced dynamic with a 2-2 draw in their last league meeting earlier in 2025. Vitória SC has a slightly higher win ratio head-to-head.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team affecting key players, implying both squads near full strength.
  • Match takes place at Vitória SC's home stadium, Dom Afonso Henriques, presenting a home advantage. No major external disruptions known.
  • Both teams sit in mid-table and will seek points to improve standings early in the season. Vitória SC, playing at home and with a slightly better form, have marginally stronger motivation to capitalize.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vitória SC: -125, Draw: +255, Arouca: +345 Vitória SC ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Vitória SC -0.5: -122, Arouca +50: +102 Vitória SC -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: +102, Under 2.5: -122 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitória SC -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vitória SC to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Gil Vicente vs. Moreirense FC Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Gil Vicente vs Moreirense FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Game Overview

The matchup features Gil Vicente as home favorites against Moreirense FC, both teams with mixed recent form and a history of close encounters. Moreirense has a slight upper hand in recent H2H results and a stronger start to the current season. Gil Vicente displays a tendency for low-scoring games.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gil Vicente has 4 points from 3 matches with no wins in last two games and a poor run at season end; Moreirense started with 100% wins historically this season and holds a better recent league position.
  • In last 10 meetings, Moreirense leads with 5 wins vs Gil Vicente’s 2 and 3 draws. Historically, matches are tight and often low-scoring with common results 1-1 and 2-1.
  • Gil Vicente has no reported injury concerns currently; Moreirense status less clear but no major injury flags reported.
  • Home advantage for Gil Vicente at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos; weather or other external conditions not specified but no known adverse impact.
  • Moreirense's perfect winning record this season suggests higher motivation; Gil Vicente looking to break a winless streak and improve league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline 138 (Gil Vicente), 240 (Moreirense), 185 (Draw) Gil Vicente ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Gil Vicente -0.25 (102), Moreirense +25 (-122) Gil Vicente -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2 -110, Under 2 -110 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gil Vicente 31%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gil Vicente to win on the moneyline, with cautious confidence due to home advantage and slightly favourable odds, despite Moreirense’s form.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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CF Estrela vs. Alverca Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: CF Estrela vs Alverca – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-25
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Gomes

Game Overview

CF Estrela hosts Alverca in a crucial early-season Primeira Liga clash where both teams seek their first win. Estrela Amadora has a slight edge as the home favorite, while Alverca struggles at the bottom of the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estrela Amadora is 13th with 1 point, showing defensive solidity but limited scoring, while Alverca languishes in last place without points, conceding more goals and struggling offensively.
  • Historically even with 8 top-flight meetings; Estrela holds a slight edge with 4 wins and 4 clean sheets, though Alverca won the last 4 encounters. No recent meetings since 2004.
  • Estrela will miss Jovane Cabral, Guilherme Montóia, and Robinho due to injury; Alverca's injury status is less prominent but team form is weaker.
  • Game at Estrela's home stadium Estádio José Gomes favors the hosts. Both teams face high pressure early in the season and need points.
  • Estrela aims to avoid relegation again by securing early points, motivated by recent decent defensive showings. Alverca, bottom of the table, is desperate to avoid early season slump perpetuation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline CF Estrela: -112, Alverca: 320, Draw: 235 CF Estrela ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread CF Estrela -0.5 -110, Alverca +50 -110 CF Estrela -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline CF Estrela 14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

CF Estrela to win (Moneyline), CF Estrela -0.5 (Spread), Under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Braga vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Braga vs AVS Futebol SAD – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Braga Municipal, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

Braga is a strong favorite hosting AVS Futebol SAD in a Primeira Liga matchup, with Braga unbeaten in 20 of their last 24 league games and AVS struggling significantly with losses in 5 of their last 6 matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Braga is in excellent recent form with heavy dominance and a record of 2 wins from 2 played against AVS this season, while AVS has shown poor form, failing to win any of their last 25 league matches and losing most recently.
  • Braga won previous encounters convincingly, including a recent 4-1 victory showing clear superiority in quality and execution.
  • No significant injury updates are reported that would impact Braga's core squad; AVS injury data is limited but no key players reported missing.
  • The match takes place at Braga's home ground, a stronghold where they tend to perform well, adding home advantage and supporter influence.
  • Braga aims to consolidate their high league standing and momentum early in the season, whereas AVS is under pressure to improve results but lacking form and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braga: -320, Draw: +415, AVS Futebol SAD: +825 Braga ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Braga -1.5: -105, AVS Futebol SAD +1.5: -115 Braga -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Under 2.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Braga -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Braga to win; Spread: Braga -1.5; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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FC Porto vs. Casa Pia Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Porto vs Casa Pia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Dragão, Porto, Portugal

Game Overview

FC Porto faces Casa Pia at home in the Portugal Primeira Liga, with Porto strongly favored given their historical dominance and current form in the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Porto ranks 3rd in the league, maintaining a solid recent form with 5 goals in the last 5 matches and multiple clean sheets. Casa Pia sits 7th with a weaker scoring record, averaging 1 goal per match recently.
  • Porto remains unbeaten against Casa Pia in their last 7 meetings (6 wins, 1 draw), reflecting clear superiority in past encounters.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side leading into this match.
  • Match at Estádio do Dragão gives Porto home advantage with strong support and familiarity.
  • Porto is motivated to consolidate their UEFA Europa League contention spot, whereas Casa Pia aims to improve mid-table standing but faces a tough challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Casa Pia: +1200, FC Porto: -485, Draw: +525 FC Porto ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Casa Pia +1.75: -105, FC Porto -1.75: -115 FC Porto -1.75 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 2.75: -125, Under 2.75: +105 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline FC Porto -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

FC Porto to win on the moneyline, covering the -1.75 goal spread, with total goals expected under 2.75.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Estoril vs. Santa Clara Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Estoril vs Santa Clara – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estoril Home Stadium

Game Overview

Estoril hosts Santa Clara in their third Primeira Liga match of the season, both teams having underwhelming starts with limited points and negative goal differences. Santa Clara is slightly favored by the bookmakers despite their worse league standing.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Estoril sits 12th with 1 point from two matches (0W,1D,1L) and -1 goal difference. Santa Clara sits 17th with 0 points from two losses and -4 goal difference. Both teams have struggled to score and defend but Santa Clara has not collected any points.
  • Recent historical odds and form suggest Santa Clara has a stronger chance of winning this encounter. No detailed H2H historical stats available, but bookmaker implied probabilities favor Santa Clara.
  • No specific injury information available in the data provided, suggesting no major absences affecting either side.
  • The match is at Estoril’s home ground, which should provide them some advantage. No unusual external conditions reported.
  • Santa Clara likely more motivated to avoid prolonged league bottom placement, currently winless with zero points. Estoril has a slight morale advantage from their solitary point but overall under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +165, draw: +200, away: +175 Away ★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread Estoril -1: -110, Santa Clara +1: +100 Santa Clara +1 ★★★☆☆ 59%
Over/under over_2.5: -140, under_2.5: +110 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santa Clara 29%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Santa Clara at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara to win on the moneyline, with a spread advantage on the away side, and a moderately high chance for over 2.5 goals scored in the match.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Famalicão vs. Gil Vicente Prediction Primeira Liga in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Famalicão vs Gil Vicente – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 2:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho

Game Overview

Famalicão hosts Gil Vicente in a Liga Portugal match. Famalicão has shown strong form at home, while Gil Vicente struggles on the road.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Famalicão has a recent win rate advantage and strong home performance.
  • Historical data suggests familiarity and competitiveness between the teams.
  • No significant injury reports available to impact the match outcome.
  • Home advantage could be crucial for Famalicão.
  • Famalicão aims to continue its winning streak, while Gil Vicente seeks to improve its away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Famalicão: +117, Gil Vicente: +265, Draw: +200 Famalicão ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Famalicão: -0.25 (-118), Gil Vicente: 25 (-102) Famalicão ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 2 (-115), under: 2 (-105) Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Famalicão 30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Famalicão at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Famalicão is favored to win based on recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Famalicão


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