Match Analysis: Casa Pia vs Braga – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Pina Manique, Lisbon, Portugal
Game Overview
This Liga Portugal match features 9th-placed Casa Pia AC (42 points, 3 wins in last 6 home league games) hosting 3rd-placed Sporting Braga (65 points, 8 matches unbeaten in the league). Casa Pia has struggled for wins, recording only 1 win in their last 9 Liga Portugal matches. Braga has been dominant, winning 30 of their last 52 matches across all competitions. The head-to-head history favors Braga, who have won 4 of their last 6 encounters with Casa Pia. The match is expected to be a stern test for Casa Pia, with Braga as strong favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
- Casa Pia: 1 win in last 9 league matches, 3 wins in last 6 home league matches. Braga: 8 matches unbeaten, 30 wins in last 52 matches.
- Braga has won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Casa Pia.
- No specific injury news available.
- No notable external disruptions reported.
- Braga is fighting for a European spot and is in strong form. Casa Pia is mid-table, with limited motivation beyond securing their league standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Braga: -165, Casa Pia: 460, Draw: 270 | Braga to win | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Spread | Braga: -1 105, Casa Pia: 1 -125 | Braga -1 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Over/under | Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Braga -4% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 -5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Braga is expected to win, with a predicted scoreline of 0-2. Casa Pia's recent form is poor, and Braga's dominance in recent encounters and league performance make them clear favorites.
Predicted Score: 0-2